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According to cognitive scientists, the first thing our brain naturally does when hearing a new statement is believe it. Only afterwards do the habits of skepticism kick in -- if we have trained them -- and send our neurons scouting for any counter-evidence. "It ain't necessarily so" is a trained response -- not a built-in circuit.
So what do you do if your claim is disproved the first time you make it? Repeat it -- over and over and over, until everybody gets tired of correcting you, and then you win!
I am not tired yet. Steven "The JunkMan" Milloy of the Competitive Enterprise Institute posts a Global Warming Denial's Top Ten List as a year-end wrap-up. Here, once again, is why he is still wrong:
- Milloy trumpets a study by climate-change skeptics claiming that Observed temperature changes measured over the last 30 years don’t match well with temperatures predicted by the [IPCC's] mathematical climate models..."
He didn't finish his research. On the same day that Science Daily and Fox News noticed the study, the climate scientists at RealClimate.org posted a refutation of it. For a less technical summary, See #3 of Prof. John Mitchell's Climate Change Myths:
Myth 3 - There is less warming in the upper atmosphere than at the surface which disproves human-induced warming
We expect greater warming in the upper atmosphere than at the surface in the tropics, but the reverse is true at high latitudes. This expectation holds whether the cause of warming is due to greenhouse gases or changes in the Sun’s output. Until recently, measurements of the temperature changes in the tropics in recent decades did not appear to show greater warming aloft than at the surface. It has now been shown that allowing for uncertainties in the observations, the theoretical and modelling results can be reconciled with the observations.
The bottom line is that the range of available information is now consistent with increased warming through the troposphere (the lowest region of the atmosphere). Turns out, the authors tried the same argument before in 2004 and got trounced. They tried this year with a slightly revised version; they are still wrong.
- Milloy says one more time with feeling, "It's all the sun's fault!" This is getting as old as "Evolution is just a theory." One more time, with feeling, "No, it's not!"
- It was even warmer 1000 years ago, so we can't be causing the warming now!
This is one more attempt to sell the Medieval Warming Period as a global phenomenon; still shoddy merchandise. The latest "study" is by Craig Loehle, of the National Council for Air and Stream Improvement -- an "environmental resource for the forest products industry" that is largely funded by the forest products industry.
Find out more on the Medieval Warming Period at GristMill, NOAA, and Wikipedia, as well as the RealClimate entry linked above.
- We don't have to do anything to correct global warming: the atmosphere self-regulates.
One more example of "personal responsibility" conservatives sloughing off any hint of personal responsibility. James Lovelock, who first proposed the vision of a "self-regulating" system Earth, himself thinks we have overloaded the system.
I think: 1) When you make a mess, do you clean it up yourself or do you wait for the "natural forces of the environment" to decay it? 2) How many people have to lose their livelihoods, lose their homes, sicken, and die while we wait for the climate to "self regulate"? 3) Nature has no reason to favor human interests in her "self-regulation." Natural "self-regulation" could include plague, flood, fire, and other methods more unpleasant to humans than cutting down on driving.
- Roll out the Straw Man! A 2005 report on the Atlantic Ocean current raised alarms in some of the media. Milloy uses this as an example of scientists being "alarmist," although scientists themselves were much more cautious about the findings. A better way to prevent future alarmism would have been to improve his readers' understanding of the science, as the scientists at RealClimate did. Further news about the Atlantic Current.
I did get a bit tired, after all. I continue this list "next year." Do you think that Steven Milloy, who gets paid for this kind of thing, can be induced to do his own research?
More on Steven Milloy.
Imported from
external blog 
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 Chaya Eitan (9) |
Saturday February 16, 2008, 12:16 pm
So, what about this??
Thomas Lifson
The ultraliberal CBC reports a truth that is mighty inconvenient for Al Gore.
There's an upside to the extreme cold temperatures northern Canadians have endured in the last few weeks: scientists say it's been helping winter sea ice grow across the Arctic, where the ice shrank to record-low levels last year. Temperatures have stayed well in the -30s C and -40s C range since late January throughout the North, with the mercury dipping past -50 C in some areas. Satellite images are showing that the cold spell is helping the sea ice expand in coverage by about 2 million square kilometres, compared to the average winter coverage in the previous three years. "It's nice to know that the ice is recovering," Josefino Comiso, a senior research scientist with the Cryospheric Sciences Branch of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Centre in Maryland, told CBC News on Thursday. [...] Winter sea ice could keep expanding. The cold is also making the ice thicker in some areas, compared to recorded thicknesses last year, Lagnis added. "The ice is about 10 to 20 centimetres thicker than last year, so that's a significant increase," he said. If temperatures remain cold this winter, Langis said winter sea ice coverage will continue to expand. |
 Anitra Freeman (35) |
Saturday February 16, 2008, 1:20 pm
Chaya, always check realclimate.org first: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/02/antarctica-is-cold/ - "Bottom line: A cold Antarctica and Southern Ocean do not contradict our models of global warming. For a long time the models have predicted just that." |
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AUTHOR: ANITRA FREEMAN
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female, age 58
married, 2 children
Seattle, WA, USA
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ANITRA'S SHARES
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| Feb 19 |
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Alert: Please sign petition to help homeless veterans
(1 comments
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discussions
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— A group trying to
establish a home for
homeless vets in Nebraska
needs your help.
Please sign their
petition:
http://www.thepetitionsit
e.com/1/a-home-for-homele
ss-veterans-in-americas-h
eartland more
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| Feb 15 |
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Blog: Abortion Ethics: Beyond Religion
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discussions
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— Dale The Honorable
Skeptic raises some
thoughtful arguments
against abortion that are
not based on "My God
says you shouldn't,
so there." I am
glad to see them; this is
the discussion that needs
to take place. Law in
human society must... more
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| Feb 14 |
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Blog: Happy St. Valentine's Day
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discussions
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— more
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Message: News of the Day
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discussions
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— I am still a newbie at
Care2 messaging;
according to Care2, I
have 26 friends, and none
of them are in my
addressbook! So
I'm using network
messaging, and I have no
idea who this is going
to; I can only hope that
I am not annoying
you. ... more
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| SHARES FROM ANITRA'S NETWORK |
| Jul 7 |
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Message: Racism and Gun Violence in the News. Note it and pass it on! by Yoda f.
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discussions
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—
1
Ok for a White Man, But
Not Ok for a Black Man?
Is This the 21st
Century?
Society &
Culture (tags: LOng
Island John White Joe
Horn Gun Viol ) Yoda -
2 minutes ago -
waronviolence.blogspot.co
m John White, a Long
Island, N.Y.... more
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| Jul 6 |
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Blog: Video - Author John Grisham discusses his book "The Innocent Man" by Barbara O.
(0 comments
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discussions
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—
Video - Author John
Grisham discusses his
book "The Innocent Man"
at the Innocence
Project's Annual Benefit.
The video opens with
Exoneree Dennis Fritz
dancing with the mother
of the murder victim in
the case for which he was
wrongfully convicted.
Th... more
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| Jul 3 |
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Blog: Jeff Deskovic - An Emotional Night At The Innocence Project's Gala by Barbara O.
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discussions
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—
My friend Jeff Deskovic
wrote a great article
about his attendance at
The Innocence Project's
Second Annual Gala
Dinner. The evening was
billed as a
âCelebr
ation of Justice and
Freedom.â
7;. With his permission I
woul... more
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| Jul 1 |
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Blog: A Little Help From My Friends by Tim R.
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discussions
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—
Since my mother passed-on
last year, in March
2007, I have no
living
blood-relatives.......wel
l, only a tiny
handful that aren't worth
a second of my
time, anyway.
Today, my Care2
friends have become my
family, an... more
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Blog: The Eve of Destruction by Tim R.
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discussions
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—
This is a 43
year-old song that
could have been written
15 minutes ago.
From a truly
under-appreciated artist
of the 60's, a
dear, sweet, kind
and gentle man I had the
honor of meeting,
shaking hands, and
sharing a conversation... more
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