Hillary ahead in the popular vote - including Florida & Michigan - by 120,000 votes!!!!!!
----- Original Message ----- From: Dana Singiser To: Dana Singiser Sent: Wednesday, April 23, 2008 2:32 PM Subject: Post-Pennsylvania Women's Vote Memo
To: Women for Hillary
From: Ann Lewis, Senior Advisor
Date: April 23, 2008
RE: The Tide Is Turning
Thank you to all of you who have been so important to Hillary and to our campaign! As we discussed on our phone call, here is some material on the Pennsylvania primary results and the role that women played. Please use this information in speaking on behalf of Hillary - remember, you are a powerful messenger!
Women's turnout went up: Women made up 59% of the electorate in the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania, compared to 53% in 2004.
Women's support for Hillary continues strong:
· Hillary won women 57%-43% in Pennsylvania.
· Pennsylvania elected women, such as Lt. Governor Catherine Baker Knoll and Rep. Allyson Schwartz were great advocates for Hillary. Leaders like Congresswomen Stephanie Tubbs Jones (Ohio), Sheila Jackson-Lee (Texas) Carolyn Maloney (New York) and Ellen Malcolm of EMILY's List came to the state as well.
· Campaign events reaching women voters included "Hillary I Know" house parties in the Philadelphia suburbs with longtime friends and advisors to Hillary such as Judy Lichtman, Lissa Muscatine, Leecia Eve and Judith McHale. The campaign also launched a national "Make Change Count" campaign highlighting Hillary's leadership in working for equal pay - an important economic and fairness issue for women and families.
Want to know what the pay gap is costing you? Click here for our Wage Gap Calculator - and send it to your friends!
Hillary is now ahead in the popular vote:
According to Real Clear Politics, Hillary has received 15,095,663 votes to Sen. Obama's 14,973,720, a margin of more than 120,000 votes. ABC News reported this morning that "Clinton has pulled ahead of Obama" in the popular vote. This count includes certified vote totals in Florida and Michigan.
As we look toward the general election in the fall against John McCain, Hillary is the strongest candidate:
· She has won Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, New Jersey, and California - all key states in the general election - with comfortable margins. Hillary Clinton has shown time and again that she is the strongest Democrat to win these critical states.
· Hillary won 60 of Pennsylvania's 67 counties, including the rural counties in the western part of the state, blue-collar counties in the northeast and the suburbs of Philadelphia, demonstrating her ability to build support across constituencies.
· The economy is the number one issue facing many Americans, and Hillary is strongest on the economy. In Pennsylvania, 55% of voters cited the economy as the most important issue facing the country, and Hillary won those voters by a whopping 12 percent!
· She has the support of voters that will build a winning coalition in the fall, including: women, Hispanics, older voters, rural voters, working class voters and Catholics. Hillary is the most likely candidate to hold Democrats' current advantages and expand the electoral map in the Southwest and in swing states like Arkansas and Arizona.
Posted: Thursday April 24, 2008, 7:18 am Visibility:
Everyone
Thursday April 24, 2008, 9:11 am
What's new: Clinton says she's ahead. Is she?
http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/04/whats-new-11.html
Some of the campaign and political news making headlines this morning, starting with the debate over which Democrat leads in the popular vote:
Checking Clinton's claim to be ahead: "More people have voted for Hillary than any other candidate," says the headline at The Fact Hub website run by Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's presidential campaign. That's not true, says Sen. Barack Obama's Know the Facts webpage.
As the Associated Press writes, the truth "depends on how the votes are counted. And even using Clinton's method, she may not stay ahead for long."
Real Clear Politics has a chart that helps make sense of the competing claims. It shows:
• Clinton's claim to be ahead works if the vote totals from Michigan (where Obama was not on the ballot) and Florida (where none of the Democrats campaigned) are included. The results of both states' primaries are not counted by the Democratic National Committee because the votes in those states were held earlier than party rules allowed.
• Clinton's claim to be ahead also relies in part on not counting votes from the caucuses held in Iowa, Nevada, Washington and Maine. Obama won all those but Nevada. The rationale for not counting those caucuses: They weren't "one man, one vote" contests with traditionally reported vote counts.
• Without the votes from Florida and Michigan in the totals, Obama leads by 500,353 votes. Add the four caucus states to the totals and his advantage grows to an estimated 610,575.
• The math begins to work in Clinton's favor as Florida and Michigan get included. An equation that includes the caucus states and Florida (because Obama at least was on the ballot there), shrinks Obama's lead to 315,803 votes.
• When Michigan (where Obama was not on the ballot) is put into the mix as well, Clinton moves ahead by 12,506 votes.
• The combination that the Clinton campaign likes best takes the popular vote from all the states except Iowa, Maine, Nevada and Washington, adds in the votes from Florida and Michigan, and puts her ahead by 122,728 votes.
• Any way you look at it, neither candidate has a large lead in terms of percentage of votes cast. By the measure that works most in his favor, Obama is ahead by 2.1%. By the measure that works most in her favor, Clinton is ahead by 0.4%.
Thursday April 24, 2008, 12:58 pm
Of course, Hillary is ahead, that is why Obama is supressing the votes in Michigan. Not to mention the math of the media, sometimes needs to be checked...lol. GO HILLARY!
Thursday April 24, 2008, 2:59 pm
As I understand the DNC ruling the DELEGATES don't count but I don't think they said anything about the votes themselves not counting. And since the votes in both states were certified by the states they should be counted in the totals. I do disagree with eliminating the caucus votes, though, even though I think the caucus system should be banned. In any case, in reality Hillary is ahead in the popular vote.
female, age 51
married, 2 children
Mount Juliet, TN, USA
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