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Despite Growing Diversity, GOP Goes “All In” on White Voters

Despite Growing Diversity, GOP Goes “All In” on White Voters

If you’re even casually familiar with American politics, you’ve probably heard of the Southern Strategy. The strategy, pioneered by Richard Nixon in 1968 and perfected by Ronald Reagan in 1980, was simple: Republicans reached out to white voters angry with the Democratic Party over its support of basic equality. By tailoring its message to appeal to disaffected whites, especially Southern whites, the GOP planned to crack a Democratic coalition that had been ascendant since the 1930s.

In a just world, reaching out to racists would have backfired — well, in a truly just world, there wouldn’t have been racism in the first place — but the Southern Strategy was a resounding success. From 1968 to 2004, Republicans won seven of ten presidential elections. Democrats carried the popular vote only once — barely — in 1976, against the man who pardoned Nixon. The only two successful Democratic candidates during that stretch were Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton, both White Southerners. President Lyndon Johnson is said to have predicted that the Civil Rights Act would cost Democrats the South for a generation; it’s actually been two generations and counting.

But time has a way of evening things up, and what had been a strength of the Republican Party is quickly becoming a massive liability. The country is becoming more diverse with each passing year, and that diversity is making it impossible to build a coalition on white voters alone. Indeed, though a majority of his voters were white, the coalition that sent Barack Obama to the White House in 2008 and re-elected him in 2012 was anchored by non-white voters.

Mitt Romney’s supporters, meanwhile, were 89 percent white. He took 60 percent of white voters. This was by design: Mitt ran a campaign consciously targeted at white voters. He still lost handily. There simply aren’t enough white voters to deliver a national election on their own.

Republicans acknowledged this after the election. The sober wing of the GOP agreed that they had to start reaching out to People of Color. They suggested embracing some form of immigration reform, allowing them to stop alienating Hispanic voters. Perhaps they could moderate on social issues, and try to broaden their coalition. Who knows, they could maybe even try to reach out to African American voters!

Unfortunately for both Republicans and the nation, the Republican Party base is the base they’ve been cultivating for decades — a base that has been built on the foundation of racism and nativism, with a healthy helping of religious fundamentalism. And while simple math tells us that the GOP must broaden its appeal, the base of the GOP is preventing that from happening.

So with the base pushing the GOP rightwards, the GOP is now starting to push a plan that is simply ridiculous: they’re now actively pushing to try to win even more of the white vote, in hopes that they can keep offsetting the gains of minority voters.

One simply needs to look over the last month to see the problem for the GOP. The Voting Rights Act was gutted, and the Republican base cheered. Republicans have shown no interest in fixing the part of the act struck down by the Supreme Court. Indeed, Southern states have rushed to put new voting restrictions into place that had previously been blocked by the Justice Department.

Americans as a whole strongly disagree with the Supreme Court’s ruling — a majority oppose the ruling, while less than a third support it — and the GOP could reach out to moderate voters of all races by agreeing to work with Democrats on a fix. They cannot, however, because a Republican base built on racist resentment is not going to accept a sensible, fair approach to civil rights.

The same problem holds on immigration. Most Americans favor immigration reform that allows undocumented immigrants a path to citizenship. Again, though, this is in direct opposition to the GOP’s nativist bent. Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s “oops” moment got a lot of press last year, but it’s arguable that his campaign’s collapse started with his support of the DREAM Act. Romney hammered Perry on the issue, and had already dented Perry significantly before the floor fell out.

Even on issues that aren’t tied directly to race, like LGBT rights and abortion rights, Republicans have gone to great lengths to reward their extreme right wing. In Texas, that meant cheating to force through abortion restrictions; in Wisconsin and Ohio, it meant pushing them through in the dark of night. The moves have been brazen; in North Carolina, the current anti-choice bill winding its way through the legislature was attached to a bill on motorcycle safety.

Meanwhile, Republicans continue to try to thwart efforts to expand same-sex marriage, even as a majority of the country support it. Indiana, not content with having same-sex marriage outlawed, made it a felony for two people of the same sex to even attempt to procure a marriage license.

On all of these issues, the GOP is out of step with Americans, though completely in tune with their base. Unfortunately for the GOP, these stands not only make it unlikely that they will win non-white voters, they alienate a significant chunk of white voters, too.

Younger voters tend to be more tolerant than older ones on issues of diversity and tolerance. Quite simply, coming out strong against immigration, same-sex marriage or voting rights is not a way to win over white voters, but a way to alienate them. Even on an issue like abortion rights, where the nation is more closely divided, the GOP is managing to alienate potential allies. Since saying he would sign abortion restrictions into law, North Carolina Gov. Pat McCrory’s approval rating has plummeted.

Republicans are continuing to play to their base, continuing their spiral into a more and more pure party. In the process, they’re ensuring that generations of voters, white and non-white, will view the party as an exclusive entity. The Civil Rights Act cost Democrats the South for two generations, but today’s GOP appears ready to cede the nation for generations to come.

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121 comments

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4:51AM PDT on Jul 28, 2013

Let that be their loss....

1:04PM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

The Rethuglican Religious Reich doesn't even care about ALL white voters-they only care about RICH WHITE CHRISTIAN HETEROSEXUAL MEN! Yes, I know that makes me sound like I'm comparing them to the Ku Klux Klan, but one look at their track record and attitudes towards the poor and working class, women's health (including reproductive freedom), LGBTQs, non-Christians, and minorities will back that statement up. Not only that, but the RRR can't even get their votes by honest means-they have to resort to sneak attacks, sabotage, cheating, and outright LIES.

And as a Wiccan woman who values her family's freedom to follow our religion without repercussions and mother of two daughters who are approaching the years when THEY have to worry about scientifically accurate sex ed and preventing unwanted pregnancies, the RRR will NEVER get our votes!

12:58PM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

Gerrymandering, voter intimidation, and election fraud are the only way the Republicans keep winning elections.

10:38AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

Thank you for the article It was interesting and it provoked a lot of comments from the members. Some were very heated, some were down right nasty, But at least it got everyone thinking and talking. I read all 116 plus comments and I do not think there is much more I can add, except to say that the way the republicans have cut up all the local districts in each state will make it hard to change course and get more democrats elected to the house and senate in state or federal elections, But we will not stop trying. We will go to the polls every time and vote to elect people that will get off their lazy asses and do some work for this country and its citizens. We will elect people that will not sign their souls away to the puppet master ,,,,grover norquist and his money bagger the koch brothers and karl rove....We need politicians that are independent and can think for themselves and vote the way the people of their district ask of them, represent the citizens not the lobby jerks. Do Not Give Up Hope, that is all we have left along with our determination to see America become all she can be for all of her citizens no matter what skin color they have, no matter what religion they follow. GOD BLESS AMERICA.

3:25AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

Thank you for sharing.

2:16AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

ty

1:54AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

Thanks for sharing!

1:05AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

My dear Deborah T. The meds will not work if you refuse to take them.

Behold the law on U.S. citizenship.

Birth Abroad to One Citizen and One Alien Parent in Wedlock

A child born abroad to one U.S. citizen parent and one alien parent acquires U.S. citizenship at birth under Section 301(g) of the INA provided the U.S. citizen parent was physically present in the United States or one of its outlying possessions for the time period required by the law applicable at the time of the child's birth.

On August 4, 1961, at the age of 18, Dunham gave birth to her first child, Barack Obama II. Friends in Washington State recall her visiting with her month-old baby in 1961. She took classes at the University of Washington from September 1961 to June 1962, and lived as a single mother in the Capitol Hill neighborhood of Seattle with her son while her husband continued his studies in Hawaii.

Clear to everyone? Case closed! It doesn’t matter where Obama was born, his mother was a natural born U.S. citizen and that makes him a natural born U.S. citizen as well. Go pedal your paranoid conspiracies somewhere else.

12:54AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

when I think of the republican party and the tea baggers It's like watching ''Animal House'''
and they are the creepy frat next to the house from hell.....the snobs against the slobs.... the party that is not much of a party......as the forces for good march forth from the church of sobriety to do battle against the forces of darkness and liberalism.......

12:45AM PDT on Jul 18, 2013

This is wonderful news. The death of the current 'know nothing' Republican Party can't happen soon enough for me.

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Colleen H. Colleen H. is an Online Campaigner with Care2 and a recent transplant to San Francisco from the East... more
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