An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows President Barack Obama leading former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney nationally, while polls from Quinnipiac University give Obama a lead in three key swing states.
Obama leads Romney 47 percent to 44 percent according to the NBC/WSJ poll. His lead is virtually unchanged from May, when he led Romney 47 percent to 43 percent.
The Quinnipiac poll also holds good news for Obama. Obama leads in Florida by a 45-41 margin, in Ohio by a 47-38 margin, and in Pennsylvania by a 45-39 margin, according to the polls.
The Quinnipiac polls and the NBC/WSJ poll both agree that Obama is running strong in battleground states. The NBC/WSJ poll showed Obama with a solid 50-42 lead in 12 swing states.
Obama supporters tend to be more strongly behind their candidate than Romney’s. 72 percent of Obama in the NBC/WSJ poll said they were voting for Obama, while only 22 percent said they were primarily voting against Romney. Meanwhile, 58 percent of Romney backers said they were behind Romney because they opposed Obama, while 35 percent said they were supporting Romney himself.
Both Romney and Obama would lose support if an unnamed third-party candidate entered the race, but Romney dipped further; Obama would receive 41 percent of the vote to Romney’s 33 percent, and 15 percent for an unnamed independent.
Obama leads among women, 52 percent to 39 percent. He also leads 92-1 among African Americans, and leads among Latinos, young voters, and independents. Romney leads only among white voters, men and Tea Party supporters.
The poll also gives Democrats a slight edge on the generic Congressional ballot. 45 percent of respondents would prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, while 44 percent support keeping Congress in GOP hands.
The Quinnipiac poll indicated that Latino voters are responding positively to Obama’s recently-announced changes in immigration policy. Latino voters in Florida now support Obama 56 percent to 32 percent, up from a 49-39 split earlier in the month.
The Quinnipiac poll also showed Democrats in the lead in three senate races. Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, leads State Treasurer Josh Mandel by a 50-34 margin, according to the poll. Sen. Robert Casey, Jr., D-Penn., leads GOP challenger Tom Smith 49-32. The closest race polled was in Florida, where Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., leads Rep. Connie Mack, R-Fla., 41-40.
The NBC/Wall Street Journal surveyed 1,000 voters and 819 registered voters between June 20-24. The poll has a margin of error of ±3.4 percent. The Quinnipiac polls were conducted from June 19-25, and surveyed 1,200 Florida voters, 1,237 Ohio voters, and 1,252 Pennsylvania voters. The margins of error were ±2.8 percent.
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