The 2012 presidential general election unofficially started last week, with likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama going head to head in an attempt to define their opposing plans on how to move America forward. As a result, the first post “general election” polling provides a lot of insight into who is responding to to each candidate’s message, and just how close the election is likely to be.
According to the latest George Washington University/Politico poll, Romney has a 1 percent lead nationwide over Obama, a statistical dead heat. Once again, it’s the voters who view themselves as Independents who are likely to push one candidate into a win. “Mitt Romney edged out President Barack Obama 48 percent to 47 percent among likely voters, a number well within the margin of error, as Republicans rapidly consolidate behind the likely GOP nominee. The former Massachusetts governor has opened up a 10-point lead, 48 percent to 38 percent, among independents in a poll conducted Sunday, April 29 through Thursday, May 3 and a 6-point lead among those who describe themselves as ‘extremely likely’ to vote in November. Obama led Romney by 9 points overall in POLITICO’s February’s poll.”
Numbers are almost as tight in the battle ground states, which could swing in either direction and are likely to be key to determining who is in the White House come January. “The president and the former Massachusetts governor start their head-to-head contest essentially even among registered voters — Obama 47%, Romney 45% — in the dozen battleground states likely to determine the election’s outcome. That’s closer than the lead of 9 percentage points for Obama in the Swing States survey in late March.”
As Republicans coalesce around Romney, the Obama campaign is kicking its swing state plan into high gear. A new ad, meant to woo voters in those coveted states, will remind them of the accomplishments of the president during his first term, and declare that his work isn’t over yet. The minute long ad will run in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Nevada, according to The Fix.
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