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Polls Show Tight Presidential Race With Focus On Independents, Swing States

Polls Show Tight Presidential Race With Focus On Independents, Swing States

The 2012 presidential general election unofficially started last week, with likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama going head to head in an attempt to define their opposing plans on how to move America forward.  As a result, the first post “general election” polling provides a lot of insight into who is responding to to each candidate’s message, and just how close the election is likely to be.

According to the latest George Washington University/Politico poll, Romney has a 1 percent lead nationwide over Obama, a statistical dead heat.  Once again, it’s the voters who view themselves as Independents who are likely to push one candidate into a win.  “Mitt Romney edged out President Barack Obama 48 percent to 47 percent among likely voters, a number well within the margin of error, as Republicans rapidly consolidate behind the likely GOP nominee. The former Massachusetts governor has opened up a 10-point lead, 48 percent to 38 percent, among independents in a poll conducted Sunday, April 29 through Thursday, May 3 and a 6-point lead among those who describe themselves as ‘extremely likely’ to vote in November. Obama led Romney by 9 points overall in POLITICO’s February’s poll.”

Numbers are almost as tight in the battle ground states, which could swing in either direction and are likely to be key to determining who is in the White House come January.  “The president and the former Massachusetts governor start their head-to-head contest essentially even among registered voters — Obama 47%, Romney 45% — in the dozen battleground states likely to determine the election’s outcome. That’s closer than the lead of 9 percentage points for Obama in the Swing States survey in late March.”

As Republicans coalesce around Romney, the Obama campaign is kicking its swing state plan into high gear.  A new ad, meant to woo voters in those coveted states, will remind them of the accomplishments of the president during his first term, and declare that his work isn’t over yet.  The minute long ad will run in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Nevada, according to The Fix.

 

 

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12:23PM PDT on May 9, 2012

Romney could win for President of the Liars Club. With the last whopper he told, he would be a shoe in. After he was totally against President Obama's wise decision to save the auto industry he is making outrageous claims. Now that it is a huge success, he is taking credit for it. That takes some real nerve...he really is an empty suit. All his past statements are on tape. Mitt thinks we are so stupid that we won't notice. He has told some other whoppers recently but I will leave it here for now.

11:15AM PDT on May 9, 2012

Obama -Biden 2012!!

12:17PM PDT on May 8, 2012

more people are finally starting to see that obama is for dividing the country. he doesn't want a country that is for all. he wants a country that everybody is supported by the 1% and on government welfare. to bad he can't add it won't work. all he has to do is look across the ocean and see what has happened to greece and italy. who knows maybe his goal is to bankrupt our country and turn us into the 3rd world. obama needs to go. let him go lead marches in kenya or something. just get him out of dc.

12:06PM PDT on May 8, 2012

Anyone who makes less than $100K/year and votes Republican is fooling themselves. All the Democrats need to do is add enough poor whites to their strong majorities with African-Americans, Hispanics (other than Cubans) to create a permanent Democratic Majority.

12:03PM PDT on May 8, 2012

The independents will make the difference. They will have an opportunity to chose between a moderate conservative, and a wholly corporate owned right wing reactionary.

People will chose between public good vs corporate good.

9:48AM PDT on May 8, 2012

Some quite sane Opinions here. If the powers-that-be could only be a tenth as wise as the majority of the citizens are..we would not be in the economic mess we are trying to stay afloat in today. Where have all the good men and Women who operate with some intelligence Gone ? Obama, you have had your opportunity to create a "Change we can believe in'..But you Stuck it to us, instead. As for you, Romney, you are just another stand-in for GWBush , and don`t fool us one bit. Ron Paul, You are the only hope Standing . Don`t leave the race..it is won`t be over until....We see you AS OUR President !!

9:12AM PDT on May 8, 2012

I find it hard to understand how anyone could vote for a spineless moral vacuum,a cowardly ,totally out of touch, rich man who lies like a rug and changes his opinion as often as he changes his socks,(or cars!) His middle name should have been panderer
Mr Obama is not perfect BUT neither is he a waffler,liar or coward.
but as an aquaintance from a southern state (white ) admitted. If Obama was white he would sweep the election. !.Grow up America.

9:01AM PDT on May 8, 2012

If they are stupid enough to go back to the Republican ideas that got us into this economy, then they deserve what they get. Unfortunately, we have to go along with them.

Poor education, encouraged by the Right, is the reason that so many people vote GOP. Surveys have shown that those who are well educated tend to vote Dem or Independant. They actually investigate and check out what is going on rather than believing what they are told by Rush and Faux News without questioning.

7:29AM PDT on May 8, 2012

Perhaps, Obama, if you were an old-fashioned Democrat like FDR or Truman, fighting for us the people, the little guys, not a totally Corporately-owned (Goldman-Sachs) Republican-Lite neo-'dem,' perhaps you'd be doing better in the polls? In fact in the long run your 'policies' will transform the US into a 3rd-world country as surely as will Romney's 'policies,' just more agonizingly slowly. I'm voting Green, no more wasting my vote on the 'lesser of 2 evils.'

7:29AM PDT on May 8, 2012

Perhaps, Obama, if you were an old-fashioned Democrat like FDR or Truman, fighting for us the people, the little guys, not a totally Corporately-owned (Goldman-Sachs) Republican-Lite neo-'dem,' perhaps you'd be doing better in the polls? In fact in the long run your 'policies' will transform the US into a 3rd-world country as surely as will Romney's 'policies,' just more agonizingly slowly. I'm voting Green, no more wasting my vote on the 'lesser of 2 evils.'

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