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Shocking Forecast: A Century-Long Megadrought

Shocking Forecast: A Century-Long Megadrought
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Last weekend we were sitting on our balcony, enjoying appetizers with friends, when the sky darkened and a wind fiercer than any we have experienced in the interior of British Columbia sent us inside. We dashed back out to rescue the flying chairs and table before they could crash through the glass doors.

The Insurance Bureau of Canada’s (IBC) new study warns Canadians “the frequency and severity of severe weather is on the rise,” and we had better prepare for it. “Telling the Weather Story” confirms the recent landslides, fires and drought are becoming the new norm.

Another study, this one published by Nature Geoscience, confirms the prediction. A team of Canadian and American scientists studied the drought of 2000 to 2004 and found it was the worst since the one that lasted from 1146 to 1151. They warn a “megadrought” could parch the planet through the entire 21st century.

Insurers have been hit hard by the impacts of catastrophic events. IBC reports insured losses internationally reached $10 billion to $50 billion a year over the past decade and exceeding $100 billion in 2011. In Canada alone insurers were on the hook for roughly $1.6 billion in 2011 and close to $1 billion annually in the previous two years. Aging infrastructure contributed to the losses, as older sewer systems are unable to handle the increased precipitation.

Next: Adaptation Strategies Are Urgent Need

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67 comments

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6:14PM PDT on Aug 13, 2012

We are murdering our planet, thus ourselves.

Remember to vote in November

10:40PM PDT on Aug 3, 2012

@ Vladimir M., although
no- this what is happening now is not a "natural cycle"- it is happening too quickly climate change does, indeed, occur. Over 10's of thousands of years- not in one century.

"as you can, the next year it' s all bad for you.It all depends on who is paing for the study! it's all the natural cycles of the planet...cold ...temperate..hot..temperate cold..."

Let do a little earth science for you. Global warming will lead to an ice age. Which is why you will see first extreme hot.. and then cold. Because? It melts the glaciers and the cold water gets into the conveyer belt of the ocean and circulates around the planet- cooling the overall temperature of the ocean, and eventually, an ice age.

Kinda like what happens when you drop ice cubes into a glass of room temperature water. It cools the overall temperature of the water as the ice melts.

And by the way- "MEGA drought and aging infrastructure can't handle the extra precipitacion."

It can't. That is why there are MEGA floods.

8:52PM PDT on Aug 3, 2012

I absolutely agree with Bryan S. A huge contadiction in one small article! MEGA drought and aging infrastructure can't handle the extra precipitacion. Wha a load of crap! and by the way...in the 70ties they were talking about cooling down of the planet. One year you should eat as much.....fish, eggs,..... etc.....as you can, the next year it' s all bad for you.It all depends on who is paing for the study! it's all the natural cycles of the planet...cold ...temperate..hot..temperate cold...
I just can' t swalow the incredible arrogance of these people . insignificant ,pitiful weak humanity changing the way this planet works.

3:31PM PDT on Aug 2, 2012

so sad

9:33AM PDT on Aug 2, 2012

Several huge sea water desalination projects and plumbing to pipe the water where needed would help the drought part of the problem. We also need to get organized to collect what rain we do get, even when it is two years worth in one hour. And we need to be able to cope with high winds, like hurricanes and tornadoes.

10:38PM PDT on Aug 1, 2012

Let's hope it's not to late.

10:17PM PDT on Aug 1, 2012

I just hope it isn't already too late

10:15PM PDT on Aug 1, 2012

The Republicans will want to "study" it some more...

11:45AM PDT on Aug 1, 2012

Juliet
@Nyack C - 25 years? I learned about global warming in Earth Science 101 at Illinois State University in 1972. It was a big agricultural school and the teacher had a crew cut. It wasn't controversial back then.

Yes, that's right- and the Dust Bowl of the 1930's was well accepted as sound science.

I guess when a Democrat such as Al Gore attempts to address the problems as he did in his documentary "An Inconvenient Truth"- it becomes a scam?

The only "SHOCK" would be for Republicans to admit that Al Gore was 100% correct.

11:35AM PDT on Aug 1, 2012

It's just a matter of time now.

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