Thursday July 24, 2008, 11:35 am
WASHINGTON (CNN) -- A new poll released Thursday shows overwhelming support from Latinos for Sen. Barack Obama over Sen. John McCain.

Obama's approval rating with registered Latino voters, the nationwide Pew Hispanic Center poll found, is at 66 percent versus 23 percent favoring McCain.

Obama's "strong showing in this survey represents a sharp reversal in his fortunes from the primaries, when Obama lost the Latino vote to Hillary Clinton by a margin of nearly 2-to-1," according to Pew Hispanic Center associate director Mark Hugo Lopez.

Obama's favorability among Latinos is slightly up from a Gallup Poll summary of surveys taken in May, which showed Obama with 62 percent of Latino voters nationwide, compared with 29 percent for McCain.

"He now appears to be even more popular than Hillary Clinton among Latinos," Lopez said.

Pew Hispanic Center's deputy director, Susan Minushkin, added that Obama is "enjoying broad-based support among Hispanics who don't see great differences by age, by gender, by education, by income." Video Watch more of Minushkin's analysis »

In comparison, a CNN "poll of polls" from July 16, shows Obama holding a 6-point lead over McCain among general registered voters.

It shows Obama at 47 percent and McCain at 41 percent; about 12 percent said they are undecided.

The poll of polls includes surveys from Gallup, CBS/NY Times, ABC/Washington Post, Quinnipiac, and Newsweek.

The survey also shows more than three quarters of Latinos who said they voted for Clinton in the primaries, now indicate they are likely to vote for Obama in the general election.

On Super Tuesday, Obama received only 38 percent of the Latino vote, while former rival Sen. Clinton received 58 percent, according to CNN exit polling.

Only 8 percent said they are likely to vote for the presumptive GOP presidential candidate. Read the full poll (pdf)

"This means that Obama is doing better among Hispanic Clinton supporters than he is among non-Hispanic white Clinton supporters, 70 percent of whom now say they have transferred their allegiance to Obama while 18 percent say they plan to vote for McCain," Lopez said, referring to a recent Pew Research Center for the People and the Press survey.

CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said past voting history among Hispanics has favored Democrats.

"Since 1972, Democratic candidates for president have, on average, won 64 percent of the Hispanic vote. So a 66 percent mark for Obama is pretty much what you would expect a Democratic candidate to get from Latinos," he said.

The poll, taken June 9-July 13, also examined the effect of race in the 2008 election.

By a margin of about 3-to-1 respondents said Obama's race would help him as opposed to hurt him with Latino voters. Fifty-three percent said his race wouldn't be a big factor in their support.

By a margin of 2-to-1 respondents said McCain's race will hurt rather than help his chances. Fifty-eight percent said McCain's race will "make no difference."

The survey shows kitchen table issues like education, jobs and health care weigh heavy on Latino voters.

Ninety-three percent of those surveyed said education was the top issue, followed by jobs, 91 percent, and health care, 90 percent.

"By a margin of 3-to-1, Hispanic registered voters believe that Obama will do a better job than McCain of dealing with education, jobs ... health care," Lopez said.

In comparison, a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. Poll taken June 26-29 of registered voters ranked election issues:

# Economy: 58 percent

# Iraq: 50 percent

# Gas prices: 48 percent

# Health care: 47 percent

# Education: 44 percent

# Immigration: 34 percent

The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Obama and McCain have spent much of their campaigns appealing to Latino voters -- appearing at several Latino conferences and through outreach appeals.

Obama supported President Bush-backed immigration legislation, which would have increased funding and improved border security technology, improved enforcement of existing laws, and provided a legal path to citizenship for some illegal immigrants.

The Illinois senator also voted to authorize construction of a 700-mile fence along the U.S.-Mexican border.

McCain has been popular among Hispanics as one of the original authors of what's known as the comprehensive immigration bill in the Senate.

That legislation would have increased funding and improved border security technology, improved enforcement of existing laws, and provided a legal path to citizenship for some illegal immigrants.

McCain also voted to authorize construction of a U.S.-Mexican border fence.

Latinos are an important voting bloc to both Democrats and Republicans, representing 9 percent of the eligible electorate and 15 percent of the total U.S. population.

But it appears this year more Latino voters are energized by the historic election.

Seventy-eight percent of Latino registered voters say they are following the election "very or somewhat closely" this year -- up from 72 percent who said the same thing at "this stage of the 2004 campaign."

"These poll findings, coming on the heels of a spirited Obama-Clinton nomination fight that led to rises in the Latino share of the vote in many Democratic primaries, suggest the Hispanic community is politically energized heading into the fall election campaign," Lopez said.



In terms of the state of the country, 70 percent of Latino registered voters said the country is headed in the wrong direction. Fifty-five percent said the Democratic Party is "better attuned to the concerns of their community" compared to 5 percent for Republicans.

The Pew Hispanic Center telephone survey of 2015 Hispanics ages 18 and older -- 892 of whom said they were registered to vote -- had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

Thursday July 24, 2008, 11:37 am
Sounds about right to me! Thank you Blue! Noted! =)

Thursday July 24, 2008, 12:26 pm
Latinos, although most are registered democrats, have historically for the most part voted Republican. It is why with such big democratic demographic, and in huge swing states, only four democrats have been President in 40 years. Bush got elected to second term due to the 40% of Latinos that voted for him. Latinos voted overwhelming for Hillary Clinton. Latinos are grateful and loyal to the Clintons. You want a DEMOCRAT in the WHITE HOUSE nominate CLINTON!

If, Obama gets nominated in Denver. The Republicans and "swift boaters" all have to do is demonstrate his liberal record on the hill. Latino Democrats are very conservative, especially the Catholics.

Once they learn, that Obama voted YES on partial abortion. Voted YES on sex education for five year olds. Voted YES for minor to cross state line for an abortion. It well be enough to make their conservative Catholic stomach sick. Worse still, when they learn that Obama Voted NO for medical aid to living breathing babies that SURVIVED ABORTION. But are left to linger on top of soiled sheets to die, well be the end of the majority Latino Support. Do not count on the Latino vote for Obama.

Thursday July 24, 2008, 12:30 pm
Mc$ame has spoken out about tightening immigration across our borders; Latinos will vote for Democrats this November.

Thursday July 24, 2008, 12:53 pm
Borders have always been "tighten." That is why so many have perished trying to cross into America. Besides, most Latinos WANT a even TIGHTER border, the drug war fare and terrorists are a major concern. They are concern for the Mexicans that live at and near the borders it is war zone, and they feel that tightening and more security will help. They are for it, again because it is out of control, civilians and police are being coldly murdered at the border. It is not the illegals that are voting... it is Latino US citizens, they have other concerns like stopping the blood shed at the border.

Thursday July 24, 2008, 3:16 pm
Actually, Maria, many of the Latinos I know, here in NYC, came in form Central America THRU Canada ... it's much easier ...

Thursday July 24, 2008, 3:39 pm
If they made it to Canada, why bother to enter the US at all. Canada is a lot more liberal when it comes to immigrants, universal health care, and government assistance, plus it is a Catholic Country.

If they had the funds to travel from Central America to Canada, then they should have the money to apply for a visa.

I have relatives and friends that visit me and my family all the time from Mexico and Latin America. Some of them have an open tourist visa. Why? Because they can establish that their lives are settled in their country, they proof of bank and savings accounts, proof of employment, proof of land ownership, proof of financial stability. I have one cousin that comes and goes as he pleases with out being harrassed, because he is a professional, working in an American Company in Mexico, owns property. So any family barbecue he either drives by or flies with out any problem.

Those that sneak in ... are financially or political devastated. And it is harder to be proved by immigration. I have never heard that Central Americans try to sneak via Canada. Financially and politically Canada is not that different than the USA, they would remain in Canada.

On an interesting note, I had a stop over in New York and I was interviewed by immigration, because I did not have my green card at the time, it was being renewed. I was traveling with a "declaration" from immigration. My foreign passport was stamped by US immigration basically instructing that I have permission to enter and reside in the USA. Funny thing, Immigration asked customs "Where did she fly in from?" "Paris" said customs. The immigration officials busted out laughing... as if I can afford to travel to France, why do I need sneak into the USA. The checked my status electronically, gave back my "declaration" and I was asked by one of the immigration officers "Why are you not a US Citizen." I already filed waiting to be approved and sworn in, I proudly replied.

Thursday July 24, 2008, 10:19 pm
I've lived in Canada and Canada is not kind to immigrants, especially if they're not white, from the U.K., etc.

Friday July 25, 2008, 11:09 am
Survey: Hispanic Voters Prefer Obama 3-to-1

Saturday August 16, 2008, 1:57 am

McCain is not favored

Check out the political futures market

Party Price Change Price Change
Democrats 64.00 +2.500 62.50 -0.011
Republicans 37.10 -0.700 37.90 +0.004

This is not close.