Poll: Obama Gaining Support With Key Clinton Demographics

Tuesday May 20, 2008, 12:09 pm
A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.


Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.

Tuesday May 20, 2008, 12:20 pm
Poll: Obama's National Lead Over Clinton Grows to 16 PointsTHE NUMBERS: Barack Obama, 55 percent, Hillary Rodham Clinton, 39 percent

Tuesday May 20, 2008, 12:27 pm
Question Care2 is a green place if im not mistaken
If Americans know that both the democrats and repukicans are in collusion and war profiteers. Then why not make a REAL CHANGE and vote for Cynthia Mckinney who is running for president under the Green Party

She is of ethnic origin and a women,,The best of both worlds and love her US Constitution and your freedoms

If you really want change vote for

Cynthia Mckinney

Tuesday May 20, 2008, 1:59 pm
Repost. I am sorry

Tuesday May 20, 2008, 7:24 pm
"I'm winning the popular vote" is the new "Iraq had WMD"

You know, I really, really don't want to write about Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign anymore. She lost. It's over. I want to focus on McCain and the Republicans.

But, the Clinton campaign spinmeisters just can't help themselves. The latest whopper is her oft-repeated claim that she's won the most popular votes. It's not true -- and it wouldn't matter if it were true. Hillary told us tonight that she's been told that she's received more votes than any other Democrat who has run for the nomination. Not true, unless the votes are counted her exact way and some states aren't counted at all. Will this never end? Just because they keep repeating this new lie over and over and over, doesn't make it true.

Markos explains how the Clinton campaign fudges the numbers to give her the popular vote lead. Team Clinton has to do some contortions that no one else takes seriously:

A reminder -- the Clinton campaign keeps claiming that they lead in the popular vote. Just a reminder that the only reason they can do that, is to claim that Obama got zero votes in Michigan, and that voters in Iowa, Nevada, Maine and Washington don't count.

I don't understand how they and Hillary herself can make that claim with a straight face.

Josh Marshall deconstructs Terry McAuliffe's talking point along the same lines:

It is ridiculous. And, it is nonsense.

When the only way Hillary can say she won the popular vote is to count an election where no one else was on the ballot while ignoring other states, well, that kinda speaks for the desperation of the Clinton campaign.

Fortunately, Obama can make a valid claim tonight that he's gotten the majority of pledged delegates. While we know that Team Clinton never really understood the delegate math, it is the delegates that ultimately matter. And, there's no way the superdelegates are going to overturn the will of the pledged delegates. Not going to happen.

Obama speaks at 10:30 PM Eastern.

Labels: hillary clinton

Tuesday May 20, 2008, 11:27 pm

National Post,
Canada
. . . Obama Will Beat McCain

Friday May 23, 2008, 2:48 pm
As I watch Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s continuing
campaign for her party’s nomination, I see a self-focused politician
who, despite the reality of the situation, continues to stubbornly pour
money that the campaign doesn’t have into a battle that it can’t win.
And over these last several years, I have learned that these are the
specific qualities that I do not want in our nation’s next president.
— a letter to the editor of The New York Times by J. Maynard of New York City; May 22.

Let's end the Clinton pyschodrama! Call the DNC 202-863-8000.

They will put you right through to a staffer. I am going to call everyday until they do something.