Will The GOP Have a Nominee By March 1st?


The early primary calendar just got a little bit crazier, with Florida announcing that they are likely to hold their primary on January 31st, over a full month earlier than the official first date available for the non-traditional early states.

As CNN reports, Florida will finalize their selection at a meeting on Friday, September 30th in order to meet the October 1st deadline for the Republican National Committee.  But the fact that it is already mentioning a date — in order to provide other early states to move up their events as well — shows that the meeting is mostly formality.

Moving the primary before the March 6th starting date for non-early endorsing states could mean a punishment from the RNC, such as loss of delegates.  But since the state is actually hosting the 2012 convention, it no doubt believes that whatever penalty it may face will not be terribly harsh.  Florida was already in violation of the rules with their previously proposed date of February 21st and should not receive a greater penalty for going even further ahead, so the January date ensures it stays in front of other states considering moving forward as well.

One state Florida is leery of?  Missouri.  The state is also planning to jump ship on the traditional calendar, stating they are likely to hold their primary on February 7th.

Iowa has already vowed that it will hold its caucus before any other state has any sort of election, and New Hampshire is clinging to its “first in the country primary” status.  With Nevada and South Carolina also scheduled to go ahead of any other states, the Florida move is likely to start the nomination process as soon as early January in order to keep the early states in their proper order.

At this rate, with the right group of wins, the nominee could be declared as early as the end of February.  So much for Super Tuesday.


Related Posts:

Florida Trying For Fifth in Primary Calendar

Primary Calendar Still Up In the Air

Arizona Primary Will Not Be Held Before February

Photo credit: Jessica Rinaldi


Msq Howard
jo Howard6 years ago

Why must every action, every decision in our Government seem to be caught up in a management crisis situation, thus barreling down to the last and final minute before it can either be passed or put into effect? Isn’t their at least once single brave individual politician in the ranks of our congress with the gull and balls to take charge of their group to get things done earlier on in time, or at least within a reasonable amount of time than to sit and drag things out right down to the final minute? What a shameful group of politicians we have serving in our government, all of whom seemingly represent a self serving administration, simply caring about only themselves and their own specialized programs of which nearly most do not meet or match the demands, let alone expectations, of the American citizen.

Marianne C.
Marianne C6 years ago

If Ike came back from the dead, what passes for Republicans today would reject him as too secular, too humanist, and too interested in a single payer public health plan. If Reagan returned from the grave, what passes for Republicans today would curse him as too liberal.

Republican today are not like they were when I was a kid and my dad and grandfather were Republicans. They were decent, hard-working men with social conscience and a commitment to the general welfare of the people of the community. My father was farmer; he grew food for a living. He milked cows, he planted fields, he raised beef. My grandfather was a carpenter; he literally built people homes with his own two hands. They paid their taxes, they supported the community chest, they diligently supported the schools, they did some good in the world every day they lived.

That isn't what it's about for Republicans today. It's all denial of rights, rejection of communal responsibility, refusal to accept responsibility for society and its infrastructures. For the rich, they sing -- and the poor and needy can just die in the streets.

The GOP of today is not the party of Lincoln, or of Eisenhower, or of Gerry Ford, or by God, of my father. It's nothing but the party of no: no morals, no ethics, no concern for anything but wealth and power.

Anybody remember the parable of the whited sepulchers? No matter how you try to shine up the outside, it's all rot and corruption within. The GOP has become a white sepulc

Robert D.
Robert D6 years ago

Herman Cain will be the next president. He has "radical" ideas that address a very bad situation, and yet these are easily understood and backed by working economic principles. People currently give Congress the lowest ratings ever. Cain is the ONLY Washington outsider running.

People, the majority of people and not various minority special interests, just want jobs and a better economy with prices on the basic essentials to go back to where they were just two years ago. Cain is the only candidate who has literally provided jobs for people. This will resonate.

Many blacks voted for Obama just because he was black. (Not all, but many.) Now, at least a third of them will be open-minded enough to just LISTEN to what Herman Cain has to say. And those who listen will hear solutions, different solutions and not re-treads of failed stimulus packages. THIS will resonate, too.

And after having someone for 8 years who could hardly finish a sentence, people love someone who can give a rousing speech. We know Obama is a wonderful speaker. Can you imagine the presidential debates between Cain and Obama? It'll make incredible TV. THIS will result in increased voter turnout, but this will be bad for Obama because the increase will come only from dissatisfied Democrats and Independents.

Herman Cain - the next President of the United States. Get used to hearing this.

Elizabeth K.
Elizabeth K6 years ago

If Ron Paul's donations stop coming in, he'll be first in line to cash a social security check.

Stacey S.
Stacey S6 years ago


Sheri Schongold
Sheri Schongold6 years ago

At the rate the GOP and the Democrats as well, are going Pat Paulson will put a hand out from the grave to get elected. This is not a showing of intelligent people it is just a branch of The Greatest Show On Earth" or The Barnum & Bailey Circus."

Marvin Haberthier

I am not a politically oriented person but encourage everyone to vote with their heart, rather than with their head.

That said, please look into Rick Santorum's background and current activity. Unfortunately he is not getting the public exposure that is necessary to compete effectively.

Bob Skippy B.
Bob 'Skippy' B6 years ago

The way it's going, the first primary for the 2016 election will be Nov. 7, 2012... ;-)

There's a good way to structure the primary season that *should* work to *everyone's* benefit.

Here it is:

The 4 traditional 'early primary' states would have their regular primary dates.

After that, have a 'small states' primary in March, then in April, have the 'medium small' group of states, the 'medium large' in May, and the largest states in June.

This guarantees that the small states *will* have a voice in the process. As an example, South Dakota's primary has always been in early June, usually the same day as California. We don't usually get *anything* as far as candidate visits *or* attention from the national media; why bother with 3 electoral votes when California has 55?

This works well for the candidates, too; smaller states are cheaper to run campaigns in, so they can stay in the race longer to see how much public support they can build. The larger states will still be the biggest prize, so it makes sense to keep them for the end; they're still the states that'll put a candidate over the top.

I'd say it would make a *lot* of sense!

Mark Alan Dellavecchia

Christie run? I don't think so. He'd flatline at 100 yards. Now, in a brisk waddle he'd have a good shot at making a quarter mile, or more.

Karen and Edwar O.
Karen and Ed O6 years ago

Okay, Rick Perry calls Social Security a Ponzi scheme, Michelle Backmann mixes up John Wayne with John Wayne Gacy, Sarah Palin doesn't know the difference between Herman Cain and Herb Caen, a Pulitzer winner with the SF Chronicle who died years ago, Ron Paul thinks people without health care should just do us a favor and die, Chris Christie is playing the shy damsel, and Romney thinks corporations are people. Do we really care?