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Election Projection -10/21/2012

US Politics & Gov't  (tags: Editorial, Elections, Polls )

- 2432 days ago -
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TomCat S (125)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 9:42 am
Last week, I noted that my projections did account for public reactions to the first Presidential debate. My latest projections of the Presidential Race and Senate Races now do not reflect public reaction to the second Presidential debate, so the picture they now paint is incomplete with few changes. If a candidate is 5% or more ahead in the average polls, I call that state for that candidate. I do this because the margins for error in most polls is 5% or less. Especially because the most recent polls do not reflect public reactions to the second Presidential debate, these numbers are also subject to change.

Past Member (0)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 9:49 am
I hope you're not using the newly purchased, right wing pollsters. I like the 7-11 poll best. It doesn't discriminate...except for the 1% you won't find there.

David C (75)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 11:31 am
You cannot currently send a star to Jason because you have done so within the last week.

Thanks, Tom, trying to remain optimistic, but still can't understand why this race is so close other than the desires of media to keep it so in order to make $$$$$,,,,,,,

John B (185)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 2:10 pm
Thanks once again Tom for both projections. Things are looking more positive for us Democrats and progressive. Read and noted. Jason, green star coming your way.

Past Member (0)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 2:19 pm
Thanks Tom & John! :)

Gloria picchetti (304)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 4:42 pm
G-d forbid if Romney wins the middle class & the poor are on death row.

Past Member (0)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 5:15 pm
Noted. Thanks.

JL A (281)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 7:53 pm
Apparently 7-11's customers choose red or blue cup & store managers count how many of each daily & report's methodology has been 100% right for a couple of decades--at least as good results as the more sophisticated polls...

Past Member (0)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 9:02 pm
Ros G,
Murdoch pulled a coup on the Ausies long before he hired karl Rove. I see that your conservatives are as brain washed as ours.

Edith B (146)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 9:53 pm
Thanks, Tom, I hope you are right. I followed the link on Angelica's comments and signed the petition for an investigation into Tagg Romney's owning voting machines in Ohio. What a conflict of interest.

Lynn Squance (235)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 10:56 pm
Thanks TC.

Send the Republican/Teabagger sewer rats scurrying for their hidey-hole!

Get out the vote!!!!!

Vote Democratic 2012!!!!! Vote Obama/Biden 2012!!!!!


Past Member (0)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 11:06 pm
Obama or Romney? Vote With Your Coffee Cup in 7-Eleven's 7 ...​...your-coffee-cup-7-elevens-7-election-143640

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 16 points in the only poll that matters: the 7-Election. Yes, 7-Eleven's politically themed promotion is back, letting shoppers ...

We all know this looks right on.

P A (117)
Sunday October 21, 2012, 11:17 pm
Bless you Edith for mentioning the petition (I had missed that reference) - I looked it up and found one on - don't know if it is the same one but I signed it
If anyone would like to copy and paste that it will lead them to the petition
I do hope and pray you are right TomCat!

Past Member (0)
Monday October 22, 2012, 3:20 am
There's absolutely no way that Obama can win this election. The swing states are leaning Romney and Obama is sinking in the polls. Americans have made up their minds that Obama is a one term President.

The election won't be decided on this thread or on Care 2. It will be decided by how our country votes. We cannot forget what happened in November 2010 when the American people voted the democrats OUT.

Obama is a one term president. In fact, he never should have been elected in the first place. He was never qualified. Look at his failed four years in office. The American people are tired of Obama and his sluggish economy. Obama brought two credit downgrades to our country. Enough is enough.

Nancy L (141)
Monday October 22, 2012, 9:48 am
Amen Diane. Obama was elected because the easily dupped turned out in 2008.

Kamila A (141)
Monday October 22, 2012, 1:37 pm
There are going to be international groups at the polls watching for voter suppression. That is some pretty amazing and good news for the human beings of this planet.

Obama, 2012!!!!

. (0)
Monday October 22, 2012, 3:16 pm
I do enjoy looking at these polls which seem to come around weekly,and I still get the same saddened feeling that it's time for the electoral college to go. Judging by the sheer number of "red" states, America wants Romney in the White House.But, because states like Calif. has 55 electoral votes, it doesn't matter a damn thing if the people want Romney or not.

Past Member (0)
Monday October 22, 2012, 3:36 pm
Allan, it matters a great deal that Mitt Romeny is challenging an incumbent President and polling slightly higher in some polls and even in the rest. It matters a great deal. The American people are speaking to us here on Care 2. We are just a small number of very concerned Americans, however, across the states the truth is being revealed. Americans aren't buying Obama's lies anymore. They aren't buying his blaming everything and everyone but himself for his own failures.

Obama never should have been elected president in 2008. Americans were simply asleep and GWB provided the perfect storm for someone "like" Obama to be sitting in our White House today. The liberals didn't vet him. They accepted him without knowing who he really is. Obama, himself, in his book, "Dreams From My Father" told all of us who he REALLY is, what he stands for, what's in his heart and, still, the liberals hoisted him up as our first black President and put him in office. What a mistake. Look at our foreign shambles....look at our economy....and look at the millions of Americans who need jobs who simply dropped out of trying to get a job. Obama bet our taxpayer dollars on many green companies and all of them are bankrupt. Look at the Chevy Volt...taxpayer funded....and no one wants the's our 2012 Edsel. Everything Obama has touched has failed.

And, yet, the liberals want him to have a second term. Breathtaking, isn't it? However, don't worry, America, because Americans will get it right this time. Obama will be a "blur" in three months.

TomCat S (125)
Tuesday October 23, 2012, 7:04 am
Thanks to most.

Do not feed the trolls.

Jae A (316)
Tuesday October 23, 2012, 12:30 pm
Oh my oh my Diane O and the teabagger klan choir arrived just in time to post what I can only call more rightwinger/teabagger koolaid induced fantasies ...while trying to sound if they actually know S#%$T from the old saying goes...when it comes to anything about governing and or Romney...and I for one stand firm on my statements here. Of course the rest of us on care2 as progressives and Dem/liberals know why they are here and believe that they are clueless as to knowing much about the guy Romney..other than he is white and he is running for office and for corporate control over our lives as well as governing our nation. From their past comments /thread posting it does appear to me that they actually support Corporate Government...aka..Facism.
Anyone who cares to can look up the definition of 'fascist' and see that it matches what does appear to be their groups mindset to more than just myself......and I agree with the definition as well as sincerely believe that it is their combined mindset also.

Carol H (229)
Wednesday October 24, 2012, 7:04 pm
noted, thanks Tom
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