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URGENT WARNING August 19, 2005 9:55 AM

The day the world runs out of oil!!

We're looking at oil as $150 per barrel. Others say closer to $190. Imagine paying 3 or 4 for a litre of petrol. Then double that to 8! In hyperinflation, every hard asset that isn't nailed down gets snapped up. Prices on everything spiralling upwards. And the pound collapses. The only way to protect your money and your future is to transfer wealth into real resources that will become so rare in the crisis ahead.

Remember how it was in the 1970's When oil was used as a political weapon during the YOM KIPPUR WAR, causing OPEC to drematicaly increase crude prices, and enforce production curba and export sanctions? Britain was seizes in a fever of car-free days and petrol rationing, and the country was plunged into chaos.

Well todays crisis is far more serious than that of the 70's

You should do your own research look at peak oil and read the many reports on this subject.

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August 19, 2005 August 19, 2005 12:15 PM

Wow, John D.!!! Thanks for posting those articles.  [ send green star]  [ accepted]
(US OR) After the oil runs out August 21, 2005 12:11 PM

The coming permanent scarcity of fossil fuels will touch off a seismic cultural shift, and some Portlanders are planning for it now
Sunday, August 21, 2005

Farms in Lake Oswego? Community gardens on the Park Blocks? Every day a Bridge Pedal day?

Welcome to the post-oil future. All too soon worldwide oil demand will exceed available supplies -- and gas prices will go through the roof.

Oil's decline will have a profound impact on a society that's based its economy on a single, dwindling resource. Many will be stranded in the suburbs as grocery store shelves empty. Others will lose their jobs as our oil-dependent economy withers.

Oil industry observers say we have at most three years -- some predict as early as this fall -- before gas prices begin a permanent climb.

As those prices move into the stratosphere, petroleum-fueled factory farms will gradually give way to smaller, labor-intensive operations. Increasingly, human energy will replace machine energy. There'll be a greater need for farm workers and craftspeople with time-honored skills: glassblowers, shoemakers, soapmakers, seamstresses and the like.

Domestic oil production peaked in 1970, and last year the government warned that world reserves are being depleted three times faster than new discoveries.

With more than 60 percent of the world's oil concentrated in the politically shaky Middle East, it's easy to see why some observers already are predicting: economic chaos, widespread fighting about limited fuel and food, and the imposition of martial law if we don't immediately begin planning for the transition away from an oil-based economy.

"Without timely mitigation, the economic, social and political cost [of spiraling fuel costs] will be unprecedented," the U.S. Department of Energy warned in a report issued last February.

In his profoundly disturbing book on the post-oil future, "The Long Emergency," James Howard Kunstler predicts we must "downscale and re-scale virtually everything we do."

Not surprisingly, there's great resistance to any suggestion that our comfortable lifestyles might change; we Americans seem to believe plentiful oil is our birthright.

"The feeling is that someone, somewhere will have a solution that will let us keep living the great American consumer lifestyle," says Pam Leitch, a local activist who's working with others in the nonprofit Portland Peak Oil, gearing up to spread the word about the coming oil crisis. "They just can't believe it won't go on forever."

Denial, resistance and putting our hopes in techno-fixes like hydrogen-fueled cars won't delay the day of reckoning. But they'll keep the fantasy of easy mobility alive for a while longer, increasing the chances of a hard landing. Realities of less mobility

The reality is this: We're already in the transition to a less mobile society. Rising fuel prices are squeezing taxi drivers, truckers and the aviation industry. The post-oil era will bring a transformation from a transient society to one that focuses on home and neighborhood. Sprawling suburbs and subdivisions will give way to compact, walkable environments.

"Suburbia will come to be regarded as the greatest misallocation of resources in the history of the world," Kunstler says. "It has a tragic destiny."

In the view of Kunstler and other post-oil activists, suburbs will disappear altogether. Developments in direct proximity to cities will be replaced by farms; those farther out will gradually be reclaimed by nature.

Prepare for "a way of life as different from industrialism as (industrialism) is from the medieval period," says Richard Heinberg, author of "Powerdown," another primer for the post-oil future.

Cities, even neighborhoods, will become more self-sufficient. Agriculture will play a heightened role in everyday American life. Cities such as Portland will have to find creative ways to feed their residents.

Rural folks have the advantage of more open space for crops, but, like city dwellers, they'll have to learn how to grow their own food. Farm populations have been decimated by the impact of large-scale corporate farming and the globalization of agriculture. Progress in Portland

The good news is Portland is heading in the right direction. Last June the city completed an inventory of all city-owned land available for cultivation.

The transition away from oil will be aided by Portland's progressive approach to alternative transportation: Two of the city's bridges -- the Hawthorne and Steel -- have been retrofitted for pedestrians and cyclists.

Another light rail line is planned between Gateway and the Clackamas Town Center along Interstate 205, and there's an aggressive policy of placing jobs and housing along rail routes.

In the coming years Wal-Mart and its "warehouse on wheels" will be remembered as a cheap-fuel-era relic. And it's hard to imagine a company such as Nike surviving if its factories aren't drastically scaled down and in-sourced, using a local labor force. Help wanted: blacksmiths

The end of oil is a challenge that lends itself to local action. Citizens are forming post-oil discussion groups up and down the West Coast. In Portland 30 to 100 folks show up at weekly meetings of Portland Peak Oil.

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p2: (US OR) After the oil runs out August 21, 2005 12:12 PM

These activists are preparing a census of people who have the skills needed for a labor-intensive, post-industrial era: Not only farmers and carpenters, but skills that have all but disappeared -- blacksmiths, gunsmiths, shoemakers and glassblowers -- as well as the modern-day paramedics, nurses and teachers.

In the coming months you'll hear and read some pretty scary stuff about the looming oil crisis. It might take predictions of mass unemployment and starvation to get Americans and their political leaders past the state of denial.

But we shouldn't let the horror stories overshadow the benefits to a society weaned off oil. Sure, we won't be flying off to Paris or Peking, and the transition to other jobs will be a painful. But we'll get stronger communities with neighbors who develop bonds based on mutual interdependence.

By replacing isolating auto travel, walking and bicycling will help build cohesive communities and help trim down an obese population. Streets and neighborhoods will become places people inhabit, not just pass through, adorned with public art and furniture.

Yes, it will be a scaled-down lifestyle with little of the expensive gadgetry and high-paying jobs we've grown accustomed to. A lot of folks, from auto mechanics to corporate executives, may find their skills have become unnecessary.

But more opportunities will arise for people willing to learn skills that meet basic human needs. As we move away from a cheap-fuel, mass-consumption society, we might just find we have more time for each other, our communities and a more healthful relationship to the Earth that sustains us.

If we start planning the transition now, the end of oil might just be one of the best things that ever happened to us.

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August 21, 2005 August 21, 2005 1:19 PM

*clap**jumping**rolling**star**thanks2**thumbsup**wow**dancestar*  [ send green star]  [ accepted]
 August 21, 2005 1:20 PM

WHAT HAPPENEND TO MY SMILEYS!?!  [ send green star]  [ accepted]
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