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COPENHAGEN: A Failure At Copenhagen May Be a Blessing In Disguise

COPENHAGEN:  A Failure At Copenhagen May Be a Blessing In Disguise

Tomorrow is the last day of COP15. While it is possible that a draft may emerge, it does not look likely at this point. However, that is not necessarily a bad thing. As Algerian envoy, Kamel Djemouai told Bloomberg, “No deal is better than to have a bad deal, particularly for Africa…. To get to a bad deal with our heads of state here is quite difficult for anybody to accept here.”

What would be a bad deal? Bloomberg reported that developed nations “may agree by tomorrow to cut greenhouse gas emissions by about half what UN scientists said are needed to keep the planet from overheating.” According to Bloomberg, that view is shared by representatives of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Merrill Lynch & Co., and the European Commission.

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said that by 2020, developed nations need to cut GHG emissions 25 to 40 percent below 1990 levels to “stand a chance” of keeping the global temperature within 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) of the pre-industrial era.

“Whatever we are going to achieve here, I would think that there’s something better,” European Union Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas said. “Already, science is telling us that climate change is accelerating and the impacts are more ominous than previously thought.”

One thing holding up a real deal is that fact that the U.S.  is not “being able to move past the 17 percent based on 2005,” as Abyd Karmali, the London-based global head of carbon emissions for BofA Merrill Lynch, said. He added, “…everyone is going to have to scale back in the short term.”

What does that mean for the long term? A New York Times op-ed piece last week stated that “nobody should expect a planet-saving agreement” from COP15. “Copenhagen  is all about attitude and aspirations,” the editorial said. “Next year will be about the results.”

The fight for a real climate deal is “fought from just below,” a report by the British non-profit Compass points out. The report titled Beyond Copenhagen: Darkest Before the Dawn believes that action on climate change will only come about as a result of pressure from below, in other words, the masses.

The most critical thing environmental activists and groups can do after Copenhagen  is “educate the public in the nature and scale of the climate problem,” as the Compass report says. In addition, the report urges activists and groups to “promote the alternative vision for a world willing and able to live within available clean energy resources, and redistribute resources both domestically and with the developing world.

Perhaps when it comes to the very real possibility that COP15 may be a virtual failure, Time magazine said it best:

The failure of the summit may be a blessing in disguise, because when it comes to dealing with climate change, the last thing we need right now is yet another empty agreement and yet more moral posturing.

The Time article also said that the focus needs to shift from “trying to make fossil fuels more expensive” to “making alternative energy cheaper.” Fully implementing the Kyoto Protocol has an estimated price tag of $180 billion a year. The article claims that for “just a little more than half that amount, we could fund a fifty-fold increase in spending on R&D for the kind of game-changing technological breakthroughs” we desperately need. In short, we need a new industrial revolution.

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43 comments

+ add your own
2:11PM PDT on May 16, 2013

Thank you for info.

10:30PM PDT on May 12, 2013

Thank you.

10:29PM PDT on May 12, 2013

Thank you.

10:28PM PDT on May 12, 2013

Thank you.

10:28PM PDT on May 12, 2013

Thank you.

10:13AM PST on Jan 3, 2010

Dear Bob m. In reference to your personal email;
We can all be combination poets, teachers and dreamers, don't you think? I like to think I am.
All I was talking about was simple, clear communication - no personal insult intended. If the message is worth sending, it is worth sending well.

8:47PM PST on Jan 2, 2010

thanks for the post

3:01PM PST on Jan 2, 2010

All the governments in Copenhagen failed to come up with a credible plan. Surprised? When did government solve a serious problem without creating a bigger one?

Solutions exist. Scientific American has an interactive display at
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=powering-a-green-planet
that explains one straight-forward proposal for a clean, green solution. Although completely sensible, it has as much chance of success as an airline based on flying pigs.

Energy use in the north causes serious climate issues, felt most severely in the south, where poor people live. How likely are rich world leaders to come up with a solution? Don't hold your breath.

But don't give up hope, either. The problem is caused by the lifestyles of people like you and me. If we don't like it, we can change. Here are some steps any American can take.
* Get rid of your car and get around by walking, bicycling, and public transit.
* Eat a locally grown, raw vegan diet.
* Heat and cool your home with passive solar energy.
* Use a solar clothes drier (aka clothesline).
* Install a solar water heater.

Each step will save lives by reducing your carbon footprint dramatically. Not every one of them is easy, but each offers rewards on a personal scale beyond improved karma. Besides improving the global climate situation, these steps hold promise for eliminating oil wars, improving our health, and rectifying the economy. It might not seem easy, but you know it's the right t

10:34PM PST on Dec 31, 2009

wow

12:22PM PST on Dec 20, 2009

interesting

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