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Obama Still Trails “Generic Republican”

Obama Still Trails “Generic Republican”

The latest polling from Gallup is out, and once more President Barack Obama is trailing the “Republican” on the ballot.   Generic Republican has an 8 point lead, 46 to 38, unchanged from September.

In general, Obama shouldn’t be too worried, as he gains quite a bit when an actual Republican contender is swapped in for “generic.”  However, the fact that the number is unchanged since last month should be troublesome to the reelection campaign, considering the fact that the primary pool has become much narrower than it was during the last polling.  Generic Republican can no longer just be the dream candidate that still might declare — with multiple potential candidates announcing they would not run in the last few weeks, the generic is now a batch of actual contenders, and that makes the lead much more onerous for Obama.  Especially when you consider the fact that someone who picks Republican thinking of a more rightwing candidate is less likely to chose Obama if that candidate does not become the nominee than, say, someone thinking of a Mitt Romney.

Gallup also notes that many Independents are undecided at this point.  It is a clear group of voters the president would need to woo in order to win a second term.

Related Stories:

Obama Leads, Trails in New Polls

Gallup Polling Shows Obama Tied With Almost Everyone

Republicans Claim New Polling Means They Will Win in 2012

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Photo from Matt Ortega via flickr creative commons

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172 comments

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3:05PM PDT on Nov 2, 2011

I think this is pretty hilarious. They may all agree on voting for a republican, but its hard to vote for ghosts of Ronald Reagan, who wasn't "all that." Good actor, though; fooled them.
The problem with the republican party is that they are still invested in a defunct system that has proven itself to be completely corrupt. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZU3wfjtIJY&feature=related
People, its just a stupid label, get over your egoic identifications, and see the truth of what you stand for. It is like you guys see things upside down. Tparty ain't it either. Come to the side of the people, vote with your hearts, not your hypnotized minds.

2:13PM PDT on Oct 26, 2011

Diane O, LMAO!!! Can always count on you for a good laugh!!!! You say you are
"laid back and hate no one", but then go and get your panties in a knot. It really doesn't take much to get you wound up. Really now. The truly sad thing is you truly believe all the hyperhole that Fox "news"spews. Try to broaden your horizons. Remember the mind is like an umbrella. It only works when it is open. And remember to take your meds.

11:14PM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

"Generic Republican" beats Obama, but the real ones do not. That does not speak to well of the Republican candidates. Any Republican would be better than the ones they've got.

10:35PM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

Allright Patrick, I get it. I checked out your link. If that's true, then it's a bit scary. Conning people out of their life's savings, etc... Plenty of republicans have done that, but years ago, we had a democrat do that in Knoxville. You may have heard of him b/c he ran for governer (& lost to Lamar Alexander at the time) & was the driving force behind our 1982 World's Fair- Jake Butcher. He went to prison for it eventually, along w/his brother, CH. But what your link talks about- trading "energy"- roundtrip trades & ricochet trading. That's pretty messed up- never heard of that. I hate all of high-end, complicated, scheming coporate trading crap- to me it's just a way to make money from nothing & that is why, every 20yrs or so, Wallstreet collapses. People buy into illusions of money & credit, interest, etc, & then, eventually they find out they have nothing that's real & $hit hits the fan. It's what scares me about the US dollar not being backed anymore & the federal reserve being privately owned. And if you think politics will spread your way (& sounds like CA's got it bad enough in some ways, already)then think about the shock waves that'll go out if the US dollar completely drops. And one thing I will blame BO for here, is his over-printing of paper money- it devalues it for sure. I'm just to the point that I think both reps & dems are out to get the world on a silver platter, for themselves, everyone else be damed...

9:47PM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

Robby C. "But, to have skin color even be a reason at all (a pro OR con) is racist in my book."

Well, there's something we agree on 100%.

The 57 states comment was just a reply to your comment, not part of the other. I do see why someone could misinterpret his comment but it's a reach. As a Canadian, I am just a year or so away from bad politics migrating north, Canada has adopted lots of bad ideas from the U.S.. I am not angry as much as I am annoyed, there IS too much name calling from both sides.

9:09PM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

Herman Cain's Enron-esque Disaster

That's the headline of the afore mentioned link...

8:53PM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

another story Herman Cain doesn't want you to know about.....

http://motherjones.com/politics/2011/05/herman-cain-aquila-lawsuit-2012

5:05PM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

I Voted for B. Obama and I'm as "White" as they come!! Why? Because for one, I'm a True Blue Democrat. 2. I Like Obama - He is a very Intelligent man w/ very Intelligent ideas. I Loved listening to him and I still do!! He's a Nice person but above all of this - I thought He should WIN the Presidential Race & He DID!!! Now everyone & their Mother (including the GOP's Big Time) want him OUT in 2012!! I still think He can do this Country some Good IF everyone & their Mother - including those GOP's give the man a chance!! It's so Sad to see this, especially when I HAVE NEVER seen this before w/ any other President (Democrat OR GOP) in Office. Put it this way, I will NEVER VOTE for any Republican - they have A LOT to learn about Life!!! GO OBAMA!!!!

11:44AM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

Elizabeth- what racist voted for him? I know there were some whites who (mistakenly) felt that voting for him would prove they were not racist (OR would help undo the horrible crimes commited against blacks, years ago, like slavery, inequality, etc).... But I'm missing your point or something. Regardless, many people saw his being black as at least one reason to vote for him. I'm sorry that bothers people, but it's true. I'm not saying it was the sole reason he was elected. I'm not saying McCain (after choosing Palin as a running mate) was a worthy contender. I saw the debates & he looked like he was on another planet, while BO came across as much sharper. But still, like it or not, his color helped him in that election, to some extent. That's not racist at all- it's just the way it is. Actually, if it's racist, it's racist from the other side...

10:51AM PDT on Oct 17, 2011

FOR CERTAIN!!!

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