A new poll released this past week suggests that a majority of New Yorkers support the state’s recently enacted same-sex marriage law and also support the Republican lawmakers who made the law’s success possible.
An NY1/Marist poll of 600 New Yorkers conducted during late July found that 55% of respondents support the law. Only 36% say they are against and 9% say they are undecided.
The NY1/Marist poll also asked if respondents would vote to overturn the law now that it’s enacted. An overwhelming 63% oppose such action. The poll has a margin of error of 4%.
As to how this breaks down, there are some interesting points.
Some 79% of respondents said they didn’t expect to be going to a same-sex wedding in the next year, but 70% said they would go if invited.
Perhaps proving it is hard to resist the allure of free cake and an open bar, 34% of those who say they are against gay marriage also say they would still go to a gay wedding if invited. Joking aside, this perhaps shows a certain openness to evolving on the issue that would appear to fit the more centrist views in the state that were also displayed prior to the bill being enacted.
As to religious conservative plans to unseat lawmakers who voted for the measure, the poll found that 44% said they were more likely to support a senator who voted for the marriage equality law, while only 30% said they would be less likely to do so. The party split on this is noteworthy.
Among registered Democrats, 55% say they are more likely to support a senator that voted for marriage equality while 21% say less.
Among registered Republicans, 24% say they are more likely to support while 43% say less likely. However, around 45% of voters identifying as independent were more likely to vote for a state senator who supported marriage equality versus 35% who were less likely.
This is a slap in the face for gay marriage opponents the National Organization for Marriage who have pledged to raise millions for a ballot initiative to overturn same-sex marriage in New York — the state does not yet have a referendum process, so there wouldn’t appear to be an immediate danger. Furthermore, with support for same-sex marriage having reached a point of rapid growth beyond the expected generational trend, it would appear that NOM’s chances of success would be further eroded the longer the same-sex marriage law is in place.
Also, while opposition groups have brought about a lawsuit to challenge the process by which New York’s same-sex marriage law was enacted, legal commentators (and Governor Andrew Cuomo’s office) have said the challenge is without merit.
You can read the poll methodology and full results over at NY1.