Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) may be raising a ridiculous amount of money in his recall election, but he’s spending a ridiculous amount as well. And it seems as though he’s not getting much for all that spending.
As Greg Sargent reports, a new Marquette Law School poll has Walker and potential recall opponent Tom Barrett in a dead heat, with Barrett edging Walker by 47-46 among registered Wisconsin voters. And Walker’s approval rating, and his head-to-head numbers with Barrett haven’t moved in any direction but slightly down for months.
Walker’s job approval has been slowly sliding- from 51 percent in January to 47 percent right now. In January in a Walker-Barrett match up Walker was leading Barrett 50-44; in March that match up was 47-45; and now he trails 46-47.
So if Walker is essentially gaining no ground and, more likely, losing ground despite flooding the state with millions in advertising, more than ever the recall election will be about voter turnout. And that means this will be an extremely close election. Both the Walker organization and the recall movement are well-organized on the ground, so a slight tip in turnout in either direction will be all it takes to decide the outcome.
I hope the election monitors are well-prepped.
Photo from ra_hurd via flickr.