Just a week ago, Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren and incumbent Republican Senator Scott Brown were in a statistical dead heat. Now, Warren officially has the lead.
According to Roll Call, a new poll on the Massachusetts senate race now has Warren out-polling incumbent Brown by 7 points, a number that is outside of the poll’s margin of error. “Among registered voters, 49 percent said they would vote for the Harvard professor and 42 percent said they would vote for Brown ‘if the election … were being held today.’ Those numbers included those who leaned more toward one candidate or the other. Six percent were undecided.”
As Talking Points Memo notes, however, this was a somewhat unusually small sample size, which accounts for the larger than normal margin of error on the poll. But it still shows a strong trend for Warren, especially with the 10 point gain since the last time the same research company polled. Writes John Marshall, “[T]his race is crystallizing the core issues the 2012 cycle looks set to turn on — finance vs. main street, wealth and income inequality, the pros and cons of survival of the fittest economics.”
Photo from david shankbone via flickr.