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Will COP17 Solve Our Climate Crisis?

Will COP17 Solve Our Climate Crisis?

The short answer, in my opinion and that of many others, is “No.” In fact, I think it’s quite unlikely that this latest installment of the international climate change negotiations – officially it’s known as the 17th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change – will even result in a substantial, legally-binding agreement.

That’s not to say that there isn’t a lot of excitement about the event, which is to be hosted in Durban, a city of some 3.5 million people on South Africa’s subtropical East Coast, from the 28th of November until the 9th of December.

The most pressing issue on the table will be the fate of the Kyoto Protocol, the international agreement which was adopted at COP3 in 1997 committing industrialized countries to legally-binding reductions in their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. As it stands today, the protocol comes to an end on the 31st of December of 2012.

With the World Meteorological Organisation announcing recently that atmospheric GHG levels reached record highs in 2010, Rajendra Pachauri, the chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, insists that the talks must focus on the very real threats posed by climate change and overcome any “short-term and narrow political considerations.”

The leader of South Africa’s negotiating team at COP17, Environment Minister Edna Morewa, told journalists that “some form of agreement” to extend Kyoto will have to be struck during the conference, even if it isn’t legally binding, but she emphasized the importance of a significant re-commitment to the process by developed countries.

A new study just released by UNICEF, the United Nations Children’s Fund, shows that climate change will exacerbate the already substantial vulnerabilities of South Africa’s children unless effective countermeasures and adaptations are implemented soon. This is just one of the many challenges we’re confronted with in the face of climate change.

The host country itself has a lot to answer for, however. South Africa is responsible for over 40% of Africa’s combined GHG emissions and ranks as the planet’s 12th largest emitter. It also has the dubious distinction of being home to the world’s biggest single point source of CO2 emissions, an oil-to-coal facility operated by a company called Sasol in the town of Secunda.

More than 90% of South Africa’s electricity is generated by coal-fired power plants, run by the state-owned monopoly power utility Eskom. What’s more, the state has signaled its continued commitment to this dirty and climate-damaging technology by building two new and gigantic coal plants with a final capacity of 4800 megawatts each. In comparison, its enthusiasm for renewable energy – in a country blessed with much sun and wind – has been criminally lukewarm.

On a more mundane level, the city of Durban itself is ready for the arrival of the conference’s 20,000 odd participants, a 1500-strong press contingent and some 20,000 members of civil society from around the globe. The road systems manager of the eThekwini Transport Authority (eThekwini is the metropolitan municipality that includes Durban and surrounding towns), Carlos Esteves, has ensured Durbanites that while they may expect a busier commute during COP17, there will not be any major traffic jams.

I’m afraid the same cannot be said about the negotiations and their capacity to deliver a meaningful international agreement and, more importantly, any globally effective climate change action.

——
Andreas is a book shop manager and freelance writer in Cape Town, South Africa. Follow him on Twitter: @Andreas_Spath

 

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61 comments

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4:02AM PST on Dec 3, 2011

The short answer is NO. Not enough of the 1% are about to be discommoded by the weather to pay attention. That 1% is, of course, all whose opinions matter.
Boycott the 1%'s banks.

5:09AM PST on Dec 1, 2011

Thanks for the article.

8:39PM PST on Nov 30, 2011

Climate change is a very important issue. We humans must reduce our climate changing emissions significantly - e.g. eat much less meat, drive much less, use less paper and wood products, and have smaller families.

7:43PM PST on Nov 30, 2011

No, they won't because the US representative said that they won't even change their standards to a better one for a 2020 goal. They'll do it after that year passes. They never even signed the Kyoto Protocol. The US is a giant, hypocritical empire that doesn't care about the rest of the world or even its citizens, only the people with money.

7:28PM PST on Nov 30, 2011

solve WHAT climate crisis?

8:35AM PST on Nov 30, 2011

Judging by the amount of coverage it's getting here in the UK, no, it's not.

However unproductive previous international environmental conferences have been, they have at least been high profile. You'd be hard pressed to know that this conference is even happening. So there's hardly any great expectations to live up to. Hmm....you don't think this could be in any way intentional, do you?

9:10PM PST on Nov 29, 2011

noted...

10:46AM PST on Nov 29, 2011

http://pesn.com/2011/11/29/9601965_A_Week_of_E-Cat_News_Flurry/

7:02AM PST on Nov 29, 2011

Man it's just another party that South African tax payers have to pay for... Drinking, eating, living the high life just like Hollywood stars. Crime is out of control, unemployment is sky rocketing yet 'they' would rather have another party than actually do 'their' jobs... I'm so tired, it's always the same old story... I know lets just carbon offset the whole planet and buy Brazil... lol.

4:37AM PST on Nov 29, 2011

I think its easier to walk to the moon, than to expect a solution from politicians. Im seeking an engineering-type partner with resources to develop/patent a new form of clean power generation. My attempts to contact govt depts were just met with autoresponders and bureaucracy, yet ludicrous projects seem to get huge funding. ( I suppose that should be expected and why we have a mess) If you're the type that believes there is more capability possible than just wind/solar, and find large scale generation capability interesting, maybe it can be fruitful to hook up with a nobody, considering the worlds finest economists,thinktanks and knowns have really produced nothing much in the scheme of things.

Cop 17 delegates will enjoy the finest foods,accomodation and other treats, and then waffle on to the next without progressing..ts the norm. If these talks provided solutions, they'd not be planning the next,and next, and next..while the globe collapses. Politicians are not, and have never been innovators..all they can do is make sure that innovations are monopolised and exploited at the expense of millions. On the day that changes, I'll change my view:)

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