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We Have to Be on Guard About False Solutions for Climate Change


Environment  (tags: animals, climate, climate-change, CO2emissions, conservation, ecosystems, environment, globalwarming, greenhousegases, habitat, habitatdestruction, healthconditions, nature, oceans, pollution, science, stae-owned )

Kit
- 645 days ago - alternet.org
What role does adaptation have to play in countries vulnerable to climate change impacts, and does the recent international focus on adaptation offer a real cause for optimism?



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Kit B. (276)
Sunday December 9, 2012, 2:36 pm
(Photo Credit: Ben Castle)


This article was published in partnership with GlobalPossibilities.org.

As the world's governments gather yet once more for a global climate summit, the prospects for the future look more ominous than ever. Regardless of the outcome of this year’s COP 18 climate change negotiations in Doha, many now fear it is too late to prevent global temperature rise exceeding 2°C this century - which has long been considered the point beyond which impacts become far more serious. Sir Bob Watson, the UK Government’s Chief Scientist, said last year that ‘‘the idea of a 2°C target is largely out of the window.’’ The current trajectory of global emissions puts us in line for a stunning four degree, or even six degree increase this century.

This is the alarming backdrop to the rise of adaptation as a theme of international climate change negotiations. A fringe issue just a few years ago, adaptation is now center stage of the discussions. At the 2009 meeting in Copenhagen, developed countries pledged to raise US $ 100 billion per year by 2020 in climate finance for developing countries – with a significant proportion of this to be earmarked for adaptation. This was considered by many to be one of the few positives from the conference and a sign that the COPs were perhaps finally starting to yield some tangible results for developing countries.

But what role does adaptation have to play in countries vulnerable to climate change impacts, and does the recent international focus on adaptation offer a real cause for optimism? The mountains of Bolivia, 8,000 miles from Doha and a place where climate change is already apparent, offer a good spot to begin to explore these issues.

Adaptation in Bolivia

At nearly 6,500 meters the spectacular Illimani is Bolivia’s second highest mountain. The steep valley of Sajhuaya on Illimani’s southern slopes is home to five farming communities, each surrounded by a patchwork of terraced fields that have been cut into the mountainside.

The stone walls and mature trees give the place a tranquil and timeless quality. However significant changes are underway, as local people explain. In recent years they have had to contend with the arrival of a number of new pests and diseases and more frequent hail storms which destroy young crops. Climate change is already a reality for these communities.

Most worrying is the rapid melting of Illimani’s glaciers, which for five months of the year are the communities’ principle water source. A single river brings the water cascading down from the glaciers above before it is distributed throughout the valley via a system of irrigation channels and ditches. Señora Berta Huarachi Mamani from the Cellubollu community is worried about the future. “Lots of things are happening here,” she tells me. “But our biggest worry is Illimani as we live from that. Illimani is everything. Little by little it is melting away.” It is sobering to think that these changes are already noticeable with only 0.8°C of warming since pre-industrial times.

With everyone here reliant on the produce that they grow to eat and sell at market, the potential loss of the glaciers poses nothing less than an existential threat to their way of life. Hugo Quispe Gutiérrez, the leader of the La Granja community, believes that people will be forced to abandon their homes and move to the cities of La Paz and El Alto. “We are not going to continue like this without water. There won’t be anything. The people will go to the city - they will migrate, because there won’t be anything to work with. With what are we going to survive?” he asks. It is clear that for these communities the stakes could not be any greater.

Some early adaptation projects run by a Bolivian NGO, Agua Sustentable, are helping the communities to plan for a future with less water. The projects include improvements to the efficiency of irrigation systems so that available water stretches further, and the development of new water storage capacity to help harvest rainfall and reduce dependency on the glacial melt water.

While Hugo is grateful for the help he knows that these initiatives will have to be an order of magnitude larger if they are to offer a viable response to the loss of the glaciers. “The projects help us a lot. They are useful projects,” he tells me, “but we need bigger ones. Reservoirs that hold the water- a big reservoir. That is why we hope for help.” But, bigger projects will mean finding more resources than Agua Sustentable currently has.

The extent of Bolivia’s adaptation needs becomes apparent when you consider that this valley represents just five of at least 200 communities which rely directly on Illimani’s glaciers alone, not to mention the thousands of other communities in similar situations across the country. If you then include the countless other villages and towns which do not rely on glaciers but are vulnerable to increases in floods and droughts (that climate change is likely to bring), then the adaptation task looks formidable. In these circumstances adaptation can take many forms, from disaster-response planning, to the introduction of drought resistant crops, or more conventional poverty-reduction and health projects which help reduce levels of vulnerability. As Adriana Soto, who works for Agua Sustentable, puts it: “There are many distinct realities [across Bolivia]. In the end everyone is exposed to the changes in climatic conditions.” With this situation replicated around the world the scale of necessary adaptation investment is hard to fathom.

Everyone I speak with says that the municipal authority here in La Paz, and the national government in general, should be doing more to help prepare for climate change. But it is difficult to see how Bolivia will be able to afford such levels of investment without significant international support. Adriana explains that, “Bolivia needs to have a very clear adaptation policy which would generate resources. But I do not know if they would be enough for everything which needs to be done, because each reality is different and some measures will be very expensive.”

This suggests that it is essential some of the $100bn per year by 2020 pledged by developed countries finds its way to Bolivia. However, not everyone is convinced that the rise of the adaptation agenda in international negotiations offers much reason for optimism.

Sceptical voices

Back in La Paz I meet with Martin Vilela from the Bolivian Climate Change Platform. He has been at the last three COPs and could talk all day about the intricacies and mysterious workings of international negotiations. He says that the warming which is now inevitable means that “adaptation is a reality” and that developed countries must “pay for their historic climate debt.” However, he cautions against placing too much hope on progress with adaptation finance.

Martin is sceptical about how much international finance will really be provided by developed countries. He points out that the pledge of $100 billion by 2020 is in reality highly vague, open to a lot of interpretation, and offers little guarantee that significant adaptation finance will be delivered. Many donors have simply relabelled pre-existing development aid as adaptation finance, making it easier to meet their targets. Adaptation finance may even fall in the coming years with developed countries citing the economic crisis as a reason for them not paying more. While headline grabbing, Martin says that the pledges of adaptation finance have in reality been “empty promises”.

Martin also highlights the burdensome conditions, which are likely to accompany any adaptation finance that is offered. “They don’t want to give the money and the little money that there will be is going to have too many conditions.” He suspects donors will demand strict requirements which Bolivia may struggle to meet, or which will heavily restrict how Bolivia can use the funds. He also fears donors could use the promise of funds to meddle with national policies. Aid conditionality is a sensitive topic in Bolivia, a country that has a long and bitter history of interference by outside actors, including World Bank-backed neoliberal reforms which were fiercely resisted across the country. It is perhaps not surprising that many Bolivians are far from enthusiastic about the prospect of becoming more reliant on foreign donors.

But Martin’s biggest reservation is that unless rapid cuts in emissions are achieved soon it will simply be impossible to adapt to the scale and pace of the resulting impacts. “With these scenarios (of four degrees warming or more) there isn’t going to be any adaptation infrastructure that will be capable of limiting the impacts of climate change, as the climate’s variability - the imbalances, the rains, the droughts - is going to be so severe that it will be very difficult to plan adaptation actions against these scenarios. Such actions are going to have their limitations and be insufficient,” he says.

Martin is concerned that “the whole issue of climate change is becoming limited to a focus on adaptation, which means they are not tackling the structural causes of climate change.” For him and many other civil society groups in Bolivia, the increasing focus on adaptation internationally misses the point and could even be a dangerous distraction by easing the pressure on developed countries and further delaying mitigation action. Ely Peredo of Fundación Solón is another prominent Bolivian campaigner. “I totally agree that the developed countries have to pay for their responsibility,” she explains, “but it is fundamental that we begin to change the development paradigm. It is very difficult to see how by only obtaining funds for adaptation we are going to resolve the problem. Even if we get funds for adaptation the problem is going to continue if we do not change really radically the way we currently live and coexist together.”

The Bolivian government’s negotiating position has also focussed primarily on the need for developed countries to make rapid emissions cuts. You are unlikely to find the Bolivian delegation in Doha enthusiastically welcoming promises of adaptation finance. Like the countries vulnerable to sea level rise that make up the Alliance of Small Island States, it seems that Bolivia risks losing far more from climate change than it has to gain from receiving adaptation support.

There is no doubt that international finance for adaptation will be important in helping vulnerable communities like those living around Illimani cope with climate change. But many in Bolivia hope adaptation is not seen as an alternative to urgent emission reductions. Even if funding for adaptation materializes (which many doubt), it will not be able to compensate for the damages caused by the worst global warming scenarios, which we are currently heading towards. Some things are simply irreplaceable.
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Ben Castle is a researcher on climate change issues for the Democracy Center in Bolivia| alternet |
 

Vicky P. (464)
Sunday December 9, 2012, 3:01 pm
yup, politicians love to play games, a lot of time the average person believes them also so they succeed in their goal
 

greenplanet e. (157)
Sunday December 9, 2012, 3:34 pm
Yeah, we should be mitigating climate change firstly. Sooner or later we will no longer be able to "adapt" if temperatures rise too much.
 

Yvonne White (231)
Sunday December 9, 2012, 3:59 pm
I'm afraid it's already to late to prevent the change that has started, so adaptation is absolutely necessary. the best ways of adapting will cause the least damage to environment & loss of life (human & plant & animal)! I especially worry for people who live on islands because of rising sea levels, but all people will lose when thousands of acres of farmland are rendered useless from drought & other weather violence..:(
 

Angelika R. (143)
Sunday December 9, 2012, 5:33 pm
" But many in Bolivia hope adaptation is not seen as an alternative to urgent emission reductions." But apparently too many do see it that way. The Doha summit was once again a flop, what is wrong with the world.
 

Kit B. (276)
Sunday December 9, 2012, 5:58 pm

It's not the world, not the people of the world, but it is the corporate interests. Those in turn guide the decisions of the leaders, we as the collective just get left behind.
 

John S. (303)
Monday December 10, 2012, 4:58 am
Interesting post.
 

Craig Pittman (45)
Monday December 10, 2012, 5:45 am
So right Kit. What we need to appreciate is that the politicians we pay to attend these conferances are neither more intelligent than the rest of us or even more informed. They have the same sources of scientific research as do we. One thing they do have that we don't is the massive corporate presssure and money to maintain the status quo. The wrong people are representing us. We should be representing us. Like a cororners jury (how appropriate an example is this considering the consequences) representtives to these conferences should be picked from a pool of common everyday citizens of the world. It makes a hell of a lot more sense than sending politicians with a pre-determined agenda. (pre-determined by the corporate world)
 

Patricia H. (468)
Monday December 10, 2012, 7:43 am
noted
 

Theodore Shayne (56)
Monday December 10, 2012, 7:52 am
The planet is a living entity. I'm not talking about gods and goddesses but a living entity that will change and adapt in order to keep itself healthy and alive. When a species overpopulates it creates problems for itself. Our avaricious and covetous lust for material gains and possessions; power and dominance over the world and everything in it leads to pestilence; famines and droughts; death. We are at that point where through our consumption of fossil fuels and the mining and drilling operations to acquire them we have disturbed the planetary balance. Every species is suffering due to our lust and water is fast becoming a major problem; which is beginning to manifest here in North America too.
Firstly, we need to address the issues causing climate change. Secondly, adaptation although necessary is only part of the process. Thirdly, we need to stop overpopulating. Fourthly, the devices such as scalar wave energy which still exist need to replace fossil fuel ones.
If we don't regulate our behavior and make the necessary changes the planet will do it for us. Migration has always been part of human history and its drive to survive. The cities would be the most logical choice and you know what Maslow wrote about that in his Hierarchy of Needs.
 

Kit B. (276)
Monday December 10, 2012, 7:55 am

Such very good insights and food for thought. Thank you.
 

Dave C. (214)
Monday December 10, 2012, 10:37 am
we must learn to take care of this planet as well as possible....there is no other place for life....
 

Past Member (0)
Monday December 10, 2012, 12:20 pm
Each and every single one of us can eat the organic vegan diet and this will reduce most toxins and death arising from the current life style choices being made now. e must stop shifting the blame to a handful of causes when it is we, ourselves, who are contributing the most with our daily decisions to eat and use animals.
 

Joanne Dixon (38)
Monday December 10, 2012, 12:21 pm
For those like me (my biggest stumbling block to thinking metric is my inability to "feel" the temperatures), 2C is closer to 5F, and 6C around 15F. So if last summer the average temperatures around my home were in the mid-90's (F), let's see, that would go to around 110F.
 

Wim Zunnebeld (144)
Monday December 10, 2012, 12:25 pm
Thx for posting
 

Kit B. (276)
Monday December 10, 2012, 12:26 pm

Because there are few guidelines what organic really means, many are easily fooled by the label that says organic but the food may not be organic. Buy locally get to know the farmers and what they use in the soil and what if any pesticides. Know your food, how and where it is grown and what toxins could be present.

Yes, Joanne many have problems with the metric scale here in the US.
 

Lois Jordan (55)
Monday December 10, 2012, 12:47 pm
Noted. Thanks, Kit. It seems that every few days, another article comes out predicting global temperature rise by another degree or 2. Last article I read a few days ago was concerned that it could rise 12-degrees F. Now, it's up to 15-degrees. Are scientists reformulating those numbers?.....or is it a slow leak of info that is too terrible to dump all at once?! And, if scientists are aware of this info, and have informed world leaders, WHY on this green Earth aren't those leaders publicly addressing it? The only conclusion I can come to is that corporations want their profits from dirty energy RIGHT NOW. This is their "last big chance" to rape and poison the planet and its people before carbon taxes and green energy take over. They know it's coming, and want to squeeze every bit of profit out of it first.....while giving us the rest of us the finger.
 

Ana Fontan (16)
Monday December 10, 2012, 12:53 pm
Thank you for this article, Kit!
 

Aaron Bouchard (130)
Monday December 10, 2012, 1:32 pm
Noted thanks
 

Muriel Servaege (45)
Monday December 10, 2012, 2:04 pm
Thank you for the article, Kit. I really have nothing to add!
 

Mary Donnelly (47)
Monday December 10, 2012, 2:07 pm
Thanks Kit--beaut post.
 

Kit B. (276)
Monday December 10, 2012, 2:16 pm

Lois -
The oceans temperatures do vary depending on where and what time of year, that has always been true since we have kept records. The over all global temperatures are currently teetering near +2 C - at one point in time that was considered far fetched, that humans would never allow that to happen. Well, it seems we do allow that and we still are not doing much to change that.
 

Michael Kirkby (85)
Monday December 10, 2012, 3:08 pm
Noted & posted.
 

Helle H. (21)
Tuesday December 11, 2012, 8:21 am
Noted.
 
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