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Election Projection - 10/7/2012

US Politics & Gov't  (tags: Elections, Polls )

- 2083 days ago -
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TomCat S (128)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 9:57 am
Itís getting closer as we are now within one month of election day, so here are my latest projections of the Presidential Race, plus I am adding close Senate Races for the first time. If a candidate is 5% or more ahead in the average polls, I called that state for that candidate. Especially because the most recent polls reflect public reactions to neither the Presidential debate, nor the drop in the unemployment rate, these numbers are subject to change.

Past Member (0)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 9:59 am
Thanks Tom

JL A (281)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 10:36 am
This provides us with an excellent baseline for judging upcoming polls leading up to the election. Thanks so much TomCat!

Kit B (276)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 10:52 am

Thanks TomCat, though a few of those red states could be blue by election day, a few in blue could turn red. This I do know, should people get too over confident and decide the election is a done deal, that they don't need to be bothered to vote then even a little as ten-fifteen thousand voters per state could every thing upside down.

So Please do get registered and VOTE, it is your right and duty as an American to VOTE!

Kit B (276)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 10:56 am

I saw one interesting "pundit" on CNN this morning talking about how he too had thought after watching the debate that Romney had won, then he listened to the debate, and changed his mind. So maybe without the visible drama, the substance did come through.

Jim P (3257)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 10:57 am
Pay no attention to what the projections are on TV and in the newspapers.

Get out and VOTE, period.

Forget those absenteee ballots, remember that well over a million absentee ballets did not get counted...?

In some countries, all citizens are required by law to vote.

Ty, Tom.

. (0)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 11:07 am
thanks Tom, glad I'm in a blue state, and we're still working hard to make sure it stays that way!

Robert S (111)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 11:18 am
Networks make money on a "tight" race. Not so much on a blowout. Who watches that? You can't sell advertizing on something thats a snore. Sad that our "news" is seen through that lens of green...but it is.

However...after the "sensational" performance of Romney, the CONTENT starts to filter through. We are seeing that happen now...with subsequent consequences, such as further acknowledgment that Romney will say ANYTHING with the Camera rolling.... and then quietly take it back.

Carrie B (306)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 12:35 pm
Thanks Tom, but as we all know many things can happen to change the outcome of an election. Especially a presidential election. Voter suppression and other forms of "dirty tricks" are alive and well in the GOP. Everyone needs to register and vote. Check your state voter registry to make sure you registration is active.

John B (185)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 1:14 pm
Thanks once again Tom for the Sunday projection and was glad to see the addition of the senate races. Read and noted.

Susanne R (235)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 3:29 pm
These projections give me hope --but we can't afford to sit back and relax for a single moment. The stakes are too high. We cannot afford to put Mitt in the White House!

SuSanne P (193)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 4:16 pm
ThankX sweetie. I spent 3 hours this morning and am THRILLED to Register 6 people. I did not expect that many. I have one more to pick up tonight, but need a bit of rest first. I AM WAITING FOR THE "FAT LADY TO SING" BEFORE I BREATHE. Too close and TERRIFYING for my liking.

Mary T (178)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 5:02 pm
Thanks Tom, Noted.

Past Member (0)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 5:13 pm

Lynn S (235)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 5:29 pm
@ Jim P --- and to add to your comment . . . "...In some countries, all citizens are required by law to vote."

...and in some other countries, people literally die in their effort to cast their vote!


Lynn S (235)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 5:44 pm
I look forward to seeing the next Election Projection and the influence of the 1st debate and the good jobs numbers report.

But whatever the polls, the only one that counts is the one at the polling stations on 06/11/2012!

Don't be complacent. Get out the vote!!!!!

The old football cheer goes "Roll 'em back! roll 'em back! Way back!" Well, roll the Republican/Teabaggers into the annals of history never to be spoken about or heard from again!

Vote Democratic 2012!!!! Vote Obama/Biden 2012!!!!!


Yvonne W (229)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 6:01 pm
I know it's not going well for the RepubliCONs because that rat-bastard U.S. Rep. John Shimkus (R-IL) has signs out with dark Blue backgrounds & a single row of red & white stars! How stupid does he think we are? Hmm, I Know these people..oh, crap...:(

joe MARTINEZ (0)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 6:14 pm
Before make ones mind up. Please read Time magazine issue Oct 15-2012"Who is telling the truth" The Fact wars. You'll be suprised about who is the biggest lier of the two. Keep in mind, "He who lie to you will steal from you" Carefully compare and look out for the one in red.

Suzanne L (99)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 7:53 pm
TY Tomcat

Robert B (60)
Sunday October 7, 2012, 9:30 pm
I've been volunteering for "Obama For America" here in North Carolina. It's a very close race here. We're doing our best to defend Big Bird. :)

OBAMA/BIDEN 2012!!!!!!!!!!

P A (117)
Monday October 8, 2012, 1:31 am
Thanks TC - I do hope all goes well - am praying hard!

Kamila A (141)
Monday October 8, 2012, 6:03 am
Here in Iowa, I have been canvassing too, and encourage everyone to get out there and pound the pavement. Its fun meeting people and having conversations. I convinced one guy who was on the fence, a woman who thought FOX was funny (encouraged her to try MSNBC, just for variety) and convinced her about her vote too, got 2 new registrations, and 3 to send them in, answered about where the polling place is, how to do this thing, etc. It was surprising and energizing all around. Here in Iowa we have been beating records of how many people we are reaching and that has been maintained for the last month and a half.
I know Obama is going to win if the election is not stolen, but I will not be complacent. There is too much at stake and I don't want that on my conscience that I was passively waiting for doom. Not on my watch!

OBAMA 2012!!!


End CrueltyDeb W (154)
Monday October 8, 2012, 9:45 am
Looks fairly even but I hope that Romney wins!

TomCat S (128)
Monday October 8, 2012, 9:46 am
Thanks all. As so many of you have said, and I reiterate, it's not over till it's over. The most important vote is yours.

Lynn S (235)
Monday October 8, 2012, 10:52 am
Excellent Robert B and Camilla! Kudos to you both for getting out there! . . . and to all the rest who are out there with people. To me, this is what it is all about --- taking your responsibility as a citizen seriously!

Don't be complacent. Get out the vote!!!!!

Vote Democratic 2012!!!! Vote Obama/Biden 2012!!!!!


TomCat S (128)
Monday October 8, 2012, 11:33 am
Amen to that!

Carol H (229)
Monday October 8, 2012, 7:08 pm
Obama-Biden 2012!!

David C (129)
Monday October 8, 2012, 7:36 pm
I always believe in you, TomCat, so hope you are right....

A vote for Obama/Biden is a vote for ALL the people.....a vote for R/R boys is a vote only for the wealthy white, mostly men, religious fanatics that want to keep us living in fear and at war....

TomCat S (128)
Tuesday October 9, 2012, 7:51 am
Thank you both!
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