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100 Million to Die By 2030 If World Fails to Act on Climate


Environment  (tags: climate-change, climate, destruction, CO2emissions, ecosystems, environment, french, climatechange, greenhousegases, globalwarming, globalwarming, habitatdestruction, pollution, politics, nature, weather, world, Sustainabililty, research, science )

JL
- 650 days ago - biologicaldiversity.org
More than 100 million people will die and the global economy will miss out on as much as 3.2 percent of its potential output annually by 2030 if the world fails to tackle climate change, a report commissioned by 20 governments said on Wednesday.



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JL A. (272)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 12:32 am
Reuters, September 27, 2012

100 million to die by 2030 if world fails to act on climate

By Nina Chestney

Reuters) - More than 100 million people will die and the global economy will miss out on as much as 3.2 percent of its potential output annually by 2030 if the world fails to tackle climate change, a report commissioned by 20 governments said on Wednesday.

As global average temperatures rise due to greenhouse gas emissions, the effects on the planet, such as melting ice caps, extreme weather, drought and rising sea levels, will threaten populations and livelihoods, said the report conducted by humanitarian organization DARA.

It calculated that five million deaths occur each year from air pollution, hunger and disease as a result of climate change and carbon-intensive economies, and that toll would likely rise to six million a year by 2030 if current patterns of fossil fuel use continue.

More than 90 percent of those deaths will occur in developing countries, said the report that calculated the human and economic impact of climate change on 184 countries in 2010 and 2030. It was commissioned by the Climate Vulnerable Forum, a partnership of 20 developing countries threatened by climate change.

"A combined climate-carbon crisis is estimated to claim 100 million lives between now and the end of the next decade," the report said.

It said the effects of climate change was already costing the global economy a potential 1.6 percent of annual output or about $1.2 trillion a year, and this could double to 3.2 percent by 2030 if global temperatures are allowed to rise.

COUNTING THE COST

Responding to the report, Oxfam International said the costs of political inaction on climate were "staggering".

"The losses to agriculture and fisheries alone could amount to more than $500 billion per year by 2030, heavily focused in the poorest countries where millions depend on these sectors to make a living," said executive director Jeremy Hobbs.

British economist Nicholas Stern told Reuters earlier this year investment equivalent to 2 percent of global GDP was needed to limit, prevent and adapt to climate change.

His report on the economics of climate change in 2006 said that without any action to tackle climate change, the overall costs and risks of climate change would be equivalent to a cut in per-capita consumption of perhaps up to 20 percent.

Temperatures have already risen by about 0.8 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times. Almost 200 nations agreed in 2010 to limit the global average temperature rise to below 2C (3.6 Fahrenheit) to avoid dangerous impacts from climate change.

But climate scientists have warned that the chance of limiting the rise to below 2C is getting smaller as global greenhouse gas emissions rise due to burning fossil fuels.

The world's poorest nations are the most vulnerable as they face increased risk of drought, water shortages, crop failure, poverty and disease. On average, they could see an 11 percent loss in GDP by 2030 due to climate change, DARA said.

"One degree Celsius rise in temperature is associated with 10 percent productivity loss in farming. For us, it means losing about 4 million metric tonnes of food grain, amounting to about $2.5 billion. That is about 2 percent of our GDP," Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina said in response to the report.

"Adding up the damages to property and other losses, we are faced with a total loss of about 3-4 percent of GDP."

Even the biggest and most rapidly developing economies will not escape unscathed. The United States and China could see a 2.1 percent reduction in their potential GDPs by 2030, while India could experience a more than 5 percent loss of potential output.

The full report is available at: daraint.org/

(This story corrects Sept 26 story to show projected losses were to potential GDP)

(Editing by Janet Lawrence/Jeremy Gaunt)
 

Roger M. (0)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 3:17 am
100 million?!?

If this is anything like accurate, it's mind-boggling.
 

JL A. (272)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 8:26 am
You cannot currently send a star to Roger because you have done so within the last week. yeah Roger, sort of like what reaction we used to have to budget/GDP numbers that became trillion.
 

Michael Kirkby (83)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 12:02 pm
The UN said publically back in 2002 and I have the article in print that they wanted an 85-90% global population reduction as of 2025. Bill Gates and his wife second that motion. Luciferians one and all. Guess who's behind chemtrails and HAARP; why the very 220 elite families who own 90% of the world's wealth. I guess this article dovetails with their plan quite nicely doesn't it?
 

JL A. (272)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 12:18 pm
Thanks ever so much Michael for adding in some of the additional context from history and involved parties on this hugely impacting, significant issue!
 

Julian Robert Gonzalez (112)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 4:55 pm
That is NWO desire. Kill 90% of population.
 

JL A. (272)
Sunday October 14, 2012, 5:01 pm
You cannot currently send a star to Julian because you have done so within the last week.
 

natalie n. (164)
Monday October 15, 2012, 3:15 am
am not surprised at the figures though i hope not to be part of it! i believe especially those in lower-lying areas will be affected and those subject to extreme temperatures too. by then scarcity of certain food sources could also result in more deaths and imbalance in the life cycle.
 

JL A. (272)
Monday October 15, 2012, 10:29 am
You cannot currently send a star to natalie because you have done so within the last week.
 
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