Has Mexican Migration to U.S. Ended?

A new study using American and Mexican figures shows that migration by Mexicans to the United States has “come to a standstill.”

The Pew Centerís analysis [PDF] of data from five different Mexican government sources and four U.S. government sources shows that net migration flow has stopped, and may have reversed.

The trend is not a new one, but has been occurring for a decade. The report cites a number of factors, which does include the U.S. recession as well as increased deportations under the Obama administration and well as increased dangers in border crossings. But it also points to the long-term decline in Mexicoís birth rates and the strong growth in the Mexican economy.

These trends suggest that the return flow to Mexico surpassed arrivals to the US in 2010 and 2011.

Around 12 million Mexicans have moved to the U.S. in the past four decades — the largest group by far from any one country — but the number of unauthorized Mexican immigrants living in the U.S.dropped in the last five years, to 6.1 million in 2011, down from a peak of nearly 7 million in 2007.

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Duane B.
.5 years ago

Thank you for sharing.

Charles Kohm
Charles Kohm6 years ago

Vera, You are absolutely correct to feel indignant towards the racist comments made against Mexican immigrants. I have never met a group of people who are more respectful, hard working and honest. The falsehood that this nation was built by LEGAL immigrants is promoted by racists. Immigration to the Americas from the first settlers was never LEGAL, and almost every group, every ethnicity arrived here in great numbers 'WITH OUT PAPERS' or WOP, the perjorative term describing Italian immigrants who arrived at Ellis Island without any documents.

Don't let the bonehead comments from right wing racists make you stoop to their level. Without the innovation and hard work of immigrants this country would become stagnant. WE ALL CAME HERE AS A RESULT OF EMIGRATION, INCLUDING NATIVE AMERICANS! The only people in the Americas who did not emigrate were Africans, who were brought here in chains and treated like sub-human refuse for centuries!

Doug Gledhill
Doug G6 years ago

This nation can't control its borders any better than it controls it rich goons and political halfwits that legitimize them. But if you are a amerikan worker, they got you nailed down.

Aurolyn L.
Aurolyn L.6 years ago

Stupid title on this article. It was quite predictable that immigration would decrease after the U.S. economy slowed and employment markets shrank. When the economy picks up again, so will immigration. Flows of migrants follow labor demand -- it's not rocket science.

James C.
James C6 years ago

Only if you believe the propaganda lies of the govt as there undocumented. so how exactly does the govt know this I say they do not and are making it up as they go.Do any of you actualy believe this story in any way I mean cmon seriously.

Rin S.
Rin S6 years ago

I don't think it's ended, as such.

William K.
William K6 years ago

This does not state that immigration to the US from Mexico has ended, just that the number of emigrants compared to immigrants are roughly equal.

Note also that an improved economy in Mexico has contributed to the slowing of out-migration. I seem to recall saying several times in these forums that pursuing a trade policy with Mexico that would improve its economy would reduce illegal immigration to the US. So, "I told you so."

Marie W.
Marie W6 years ago

Really tells us something.

Martha Eberle
Martha Eberle6 years ago

Not surprised. This is a dangerous country for Mexicans.

Gilberto Flores
Gilberto Flores6 years ago

How do you count people crossing the border without documents?
Strong growth of the mexican economy? Everybody is invited to visit us.
Cheers from Mexico City.