Memo To The GOP: The Great White Majority Is Over

The US is becoming a less white nation. These are exciting times.

From Smithsonian Magazine:

The United States of 2050 will look different from that of today: whites will no longer be in the majority. The U.S. minority population, currently 30 percent, is expected to exceed 50 percent before 2050. No other advanced, populous country will see such diversity.

In fact, most of America’s net population growth will be among its minorities, as well as in a growing mixed-race population. Latino and Asian populations are expected to nearly triple, and the children of immigrants will become more prominent. Today in the United States, 25 percent of children under age 5 are Hispanic; by 2050, that percentage will be almost 40 percent.

Here’s a wonderful infographic created by the Center for American Progress, which illustrates the racial and ethnic diversity that is growing in the US, based on examining the censuses of 2000 and 2010:

However, the Republican Party, rather than cheering, seems unable to adjust to this reality.

From National Journal:

Republican strategists clearly feel the weight of trying to assemble a national majority with so little support among minorities that they must win three in five whites. “This is the last time anyone will try to do this,” one said. A GOP coalition that relies almost entirely on whites could squeeze out one more narrow victory in November. But if Republicans can’t find more effective ways to bridge the priorities of their conservative core and the diversifying Next America, that weight will grow more daunting every year.

Simply put, based on those changing demographics, this is the last chance the current GOP has to win an election. GOP politicians in the future will have to find a way to appeal to communities of color who may hold quite different opinions about the role of government, as well as many other issues.

Put another way, The New York Times reminds us:

The percentage of the electorate that is white and not of Hispanic origin has been dropping steadily. It was about 90 percent of the vote in the 1970s. By 2008 it was 74 percent. The white vote has declined an average of three points in each presidential election since 1992.

There is no better place to see this than in Texas.

The Daily Kos reported on an analysis of the huge state which has, since the 1960s, consistently delivered the GOP a big chunk of the electoral college, and decided that it is a matter of when, not if, the state will start turning blue.

Here’s why.

In 2011, for the first time, Hispanics became the majority of public school students in Texas.

By 2050, the number of Texas public school students is expected to swell to nine million from roughly five million now, and nearly two-thirds will be Hispanic, according to Steve Murdock, a demographer and director of Rice University’s Hobby Center for the Study of Texas. The overall percentage of white students will drop by half to about 15 percent.

From The New York Times:

“When you look at children, there is no doubt. The future of Texas — the future of the United States — is tied to the minority population,” said Dr. Murdock, a former state demographer and director of the United States Census Bureau. “It’s just mathematically true.”

For so many of us, this is great news. For the GOP, it is apparently an opportunity to use these demographics as a scare tactic, and to promote fear of “the other.” Shame on you, GOP.


Related Care2 Coverage

The Future of the U.S. Belongs To Non-Whites. Are Educators Ready?

Could Texan Demographics Doom The GOP?

GOP Platform Declares Medicaid Unconstitutional


Photo Credit: thinkstock


Nan Birkholz
Nanci B5 years ago

Sorry Susan, you are not an American. YOU are an immigrant to this country. Somebody gave your family a chance to live a better life than the country they came from. They worked, took the low-paying jobs and suffered endless stereotypes that you now accuse others of having.

Perhaps it has never occurred to you that America is the richest, most successful country in history because of its diversity. Every culture, religion and set of customs adds to the social & financial wealth of the USA although most shallow-minded people fight change. No change means no growth which is why the GOP lost this election.

Meta P.
Meta Peet5 years ago

susan Z: You must be a right wing, neo con, fundamentalist christian republican tea partier!! You and your kind are HISTORY!!

trina firey
Trina D. firey5 years ago

I hope this new mix of citizens helps to promote a nation of benevolence, compassion, equality, integrity, knowledge, innovation, love and peace. Teach your children well.

Brandon Van Every

So Susan, do you fear that the US Presidency can be undermined and turned into a dictatorship? What would it take for that to happen? Does it make any difference if the President happens to be black?

Susan Zitzler
Susan Zitzler5 years ago

Note also that not only will all nationalities be diluted,so will the so called blacks from whatever countries they come from and they are not all black either. Puerto Ricans have black in their backgrounds so they are not just spanish. You can meet many Puerto Ricans of many different shades of color, from dark to almost what would be considered as white. I have two daughters who do not look Puerto Rican and yet they are and do not have to disclose this if they do not want to when applying for a job if they feel it would be more to their advantage. That is why this part of an application choice should be removed as being biased when you enter "what and who you are". It should not be a factor. My opinions are mine and those who do not agree I could not care less. Free speech, while we still have it, is what I am doing here. One day we will not have it any longer as obama takes over and becomes a dictator.

Susan Zitzler
Susan Zitzler5 years ago

Robert O. I do not feel inferior or less than others, just state the facts as I see them and see more blacks are on welfare now and have always been and now spanish come here and are on it too. We the rest of the nationalities or races have to support them. As I said, I do not consider myself a WHITE person as I too have two nationalities in me that I know of and possibly more if I go back to those still living in Europe who are related to me. There is no WHITE race and basically never was, it is something someone created to distinguish people of a look like white skin to be WHITE. I am German/English and who knows what else and have no problem with this. Me ---- I am American. What are you Robert?

Susan Zitzler
Susan Zitzler5 years ago

Yes whites build this country, but they were really not white either, English basically, but why called white at all to me is wrong. English built America and then other nationalities came too to make it what it is. White should not even be a race--- a race should be a nationality in this case English. People from many countries brought over many good things and some bad things to develop this country and make it what it has become. True we have some problem nationalities that bring troubles with them but not all the people of "that " nationality are problems. Good eggs and bad eggs alike there are, as with everything in life, things are not always Great. It is time to get ride of "color" on applications and make it male or female with no nationality listing at all. It should not be something that is judged to get a job, a loan, etc.
obama is not black either for all of those who think he is, he is a half breed mulatto, half white and half black/Kenyan-Malaysian depending on which father of the two or more is actually his.

Robert O.
Robert O5 years ago

The GOP is so set in their ways and resistant to change that this would go right over their heads. They're still living in the pre-civil rights days and behaving and rationalizing everything in the context of the White only utopia they have in their heads. They take ridiculous and derogatory stereotypes as gospel truth and use them to justify their prejudices rather than celebrate and embrace diversity. This country has always been a melting pot and just because the Caucasian population has always been the largest does not mean that's the way it's supposed to be forever!

Veronica C., nobody is saying they hate White people, but it does seem that a lot of the racism and nationalism emanates from the insecure, intolerant, hateful ones (like Susan Z.) that no doubt feel threatened by the increasing numbers of people they probably believe are inferior to them.

Susan Zitzler
Susan Zitzler5 years ago

Hispanics never use birth control and will continue to have kids like the blacks and live on welfare from one generation to another. Some smarter blacks and hispanics are marrying whites and other nationalities and creating a "new group of people". These are ones with the brains to not have kids like rabbits and only have as many as you can afford to have, raise and take care of. Whites are not like hispanics and blacks, we do not have kids like rabbits and are more likely to make a choice, rather than just keep having more kids, to make a better life for those we already have. More people are marrying "other nationalities" rather than their own as to escape from some of those "group" names of who they are. Blacks, who like to be called African American, even though they are not all from Africa and to me created this name because of poor self esteem- are finding it better to marry another race and break that "black" image that they are dragging with them. To give "their children" a better chance of a future of not being "black" just being a "person" of several nationalities or races as many of even whites have in their backgrounds. Me, I am German/English so I am not white either really. Race should be removed from any documents and it should not be something that has to be disclosed as we more and more become "undetermined" as any one race at all. I am male or female and "AMERICAN". Although I do not feel that I have to specify myself as White American at all and b

Penny C.
penny C5 years ago