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Election Projection - 11/4/2012

US Politics & Gov't  (tags: Editorial, Elections, Polls )

- 2415 days ago -
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TomCat S (125)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 7:55 am
My latest projections of the Presidential Race and Senate Races now do reflect public reaction to all the Presidential debates. If a candidate is 3% or more ahead in the average polls, I call that state for that candidate. I do this because the margins for error in most polls is 3% or less. I reduced this from 5%, because the election is only two days away. I am also including my final projection, in which I predict all the states, no matter how close. For the toss up states, I relied on the age of the available polls, the reliability of the research companies that conducted them, the methodologies they published, and when all else failed, gut instinct. We’ll see how I did soon.

Kit B (276)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 8:09 am

Salt over shoulder, fingers crossed and here's hoping your predictions are correct.

Sunday November 4, 2012, 8:45 am
pins and needles

Susanne R (236)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 9:49 am
When I see all the "red" on your Presidential Election Map, I see red! What are they thinking? I'm hoping and praying that your projection is accurate, Tom.

Thank you again for all you do!

Susanne R (236)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 9:52 am
You cannot currently send a star to Robert because you have done so within the last week.

I checked out your link, Robert. Great information! Thanks for providing it!

. (0)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 9:56 am
Thank you. Vote Vote Vote people. Obama/Biden 2012

Robert S (111)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 10:48 am
Your welcome Susanne.
Since you liked's another. Its good in its own way also.

David C (75)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 12:47 pm
I hope that your projections are right!!!!
Go Obama!!!!

Robert S (111)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 1:03 pm
I don't know if all can view this page...but if you can, its informative.

cecily w (0)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 1:23 pm
Hope this projection is right for Obama.
Am a little jittery though that one of those senators will be Akin. (I'm from Missouri.)

Lynn Squance (235)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 1:46 pm
The first hurdle is election night! But until all is said and done, I'll find it hard to breathe! Although not watching in 2000 like I have this year, I do remember the SCOTUS shenanigans in determining the election outcome, and my disappointment at Bush winning. There really MUST be election reform to make all federal elections come under the same rules. People in one state should not be disadvantaged by their state rules over people in other states. That is just plain wrong!

Vote Democratic 2012!!!!! Re-elect Barak Obama 2012!!!!!


Catherine O Neill (73)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 3:32 pm
Let me see Socialism/Democracy. I vote for democracy I voted for Romney

Kamila A (141)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 4:00 pm
Obama is going to win, no doubts.

Tamara Hayes (185)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 6:32 pm
I don't think I will be able to breath till at least Wednesday. I have my bag packed in case Romney wins.

Nancy L (141)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 7:45 pm
Send a Green Star to Catherine O Neill

Sending a Green Star is a simple way to say "Thank you"
You cannot currently send a star to Catherine because you have done so within the last week.

Shelly Peterson (213)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 8:19 pm
Thankyou Tom!

John B (185)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 8:22 pm
Thanks Tom for the projection. Hope you are right and I would love to see FL and NC go to Obama. Read and noted.

Veronica C (17)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 9:50 pm
I think it's going to be a long night.

Cindy Richardson (80)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 9:52 pm
NOTED. I pray President Obama WINS!!! I already mailed in my vote! I'm in Colorado.

Robert S (111)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 10:40 pm

Giana Peranio Paz (398)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 10:47 pm
This time it's so close...I am also crossing my fingers! Please win, Obama!

Judie B (61)
Sunday November 4, 2012, 11:42 pm
I think if Obama loses Florida and Ohio, they need to launch an immediate investigation into the Republican party for fraud and vote tampering. There needs to be a federal mandate to prevent the voter obstructions that have been recorded in both of those states (both of which are run by Republicans). We all deserve to have our voices heard, no matter who we choose to vote for.

Past Member (0)
Monday November 5, 2012, 2:08 am
Catherine. You repeatedly accuse Obama of being a Socialist on this site.

Please allow me to assure you, you have no idea what you're talking about. You clearly have no understanding of the concept of Socialism.

I'd ask you to desist, but I suspect will be unable to do so. Perhaps, in the interest of balance, some of us should refer to Romney as a Nazi. He's not, of course. But he's every bit as much a Nazi as Obama is a Socialist.

Robert S (111)
Monday November 5, 2012, 6:57 am
Well said Roger.

JL A (281)
Monday November 5, 2012, 7:39 am

Sending a Green Star is a simple way to say "Thank you"

You cannot currently send a star to Roger because you have done so within the last week.

Myron Scott (70)
Monday November 5, 2012, 7:48 am
Pray to God you're right, Tom.

TomCat S (125)
Monday November 5, 2012, 8:27 am
Thanks everyone. As usual the Republicans have it wrong. What they call Democracy is fascism. What they call socialism is democracy.
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