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According to Math | the Writing of John Laurits


US Politics & Gov't  (tags: Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, State primaries, Voter Suppression, fraud, inaccurate vote counts, delegates, Berners, Philadelphia June 25th, #CheatingHillary, RICO laws )

Barbara
- 1075 days ago - johnlaurits.com
in an ironic twist of fate a very powerful weapon may have been handed to us by the enemy that wanted to destroy us--that weapon is the sheer, appalling unfairness with which BernieSanders' movement has been treated & the probably-illegal maneuvers



   

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Comments

Barbara Tomlinson (431)
Saturday June 11, 2016, 7:44 pm
My delegate math worked so long as the race was fair — and, by “fair,” I mean “less rigged than it obviously is.” But the DNC, the corporate-media, & the Clinton-Machine have been far more cunning & dishonest (& probably far more criminal) than I had anticipated — there is still a way through but first we must…
UNITE!

I’ve noticed far too much fighting & bickering among the Berners, in the last few days — I know that emotions are running high and the media has thrown a cloud of confusion around us but we must not allow ourselves to be divided.

#BernieOrBust people, “hold-my-nose-and-vote-for-her” people, people who want to form a Green Party alliance — it doesn’t matter! We are all Berners — #WeAreBernie, #NotMeUs! We must not allow our differences to divide us — that, my friends, is exactly what the establishment wants and, if they get it, well — then, it will be over. I promise you that.

I beg you — be kind to other Bernie-Supporters, regardless of differences. And, for that matter, be kind to Hillary-Supporters, too! We want them to be on our side — the more angry we seem, the more insults we throw, the more the media will use it against us.

I’m angry, too — but we have to use that anger in the right ways.

Now, about that way forward…
The Way Forward

Again, because super-delegates do not vote until the convention, here is the real delegate count that we’re working with, which actually isn’t terrible…

Clinton: 2,202 | 54.6%
Sanders: 1,829 | 45.4%

Total Pledged Delegates Won: 4,031

Not terrible — but it will be exceedingly hard to attain the majority of pledged delegates, at this point — not impossible, perhaps, but much, much harder. California is not anywhere near done counting & I am working on getting information about the true count in Puerto Rico, which I am told may be much higher & is much more complicated than it appears to be… *(please see note at the bottom of the page for more on this.)

We must try — but we must not rely on this happening. We still have a lot of delegates — but we’re going to need more bargaining power than that. I believe that we will be able to secure more delegates than we seem to have now but — because of the DNC & the corporate-media’s treachery — we must change our over-all attack plan.

It is possible that (in an ironic twist of fate) a very powerful weapon may have been handed to us by the enemy that wanted to destroy us — that weapon is the sheer, appalling unfairness with which Bernie Sanders’ movement has been treated and the probably-illegal maneuvers that they’ve used to cripple us. The fact that we’ve come so far, even in spite of all that, is really amazing, actually.
The Despicable Behavior of the DNC

Thus far, Bernie Sanders has run the cleanest campaign that I have ever seen — he has refused to attack Clinton about Email-Gate & he has kept almost surprisingly quiet about the intentional unfairness of the so-called “democratic” primaries. And his nobility of spirit, his kindness, & his peaceful inclinations are some of the many reasons that we all love him. We — however — must now go on the attack!

And yet — we must attack fairly, kindly, with class, & almost startlingly cat-like grace. We can’t allow the media to shut us out & lead the rest of the country to believe the lie that $hilary C/inton is the presumed democratic nominee. We must cast every doubt that we can on the media’s claim. To get this going, I strongly suggest that we draw as much attention as possible to these two things, in particular:

There are several big lawsuits that are, at this very moment, suing various state & party entities over what seems to be election fraud. One of the big ones is trustvote.org’s lawsuit — they are trying to force them to release the raw exit-poll data (which, for some reason, they won’t give us), which can be used as evidence of fraud. This is #ExitPollGate and I want everyone on the internet to know about it — by tomorrow!
We must emphasize that the “democratic” party has largely excluded the democracy by alienating & suppressing the independent vote (at least 42% of US voters!) — not only through systemic issues (like closed primaries & ridiculous registration deadlines) but through the all-too-familiar “mysterious” voter-roll purges & ridiculous poll-station closures. We must let our leaders, the media, & the world know that we are totally not cool with that. I’ll provide a list of good articles on these serious election-issues at the end of the article for sharing!

My friends, we’re going to have to make a lot of noise in these next few weeks — we must bern through the media-blackout!
A good way to do that would be to literally break the internet with a hurricane of Sanders-Support & informative articles $hill’s sneaky tricks!
We have to let both the media & the public know that we & this movement are not going away!

We’re have to be relentless — but we must not be mean!

We will expose their unethical behavior and we will do so without mercy. If we can bring enough attention to the injustices of the primaries — and sustain that attention — it will eventually become too much & the media will be forced to report it. It worked for Gandhi & it worked for King. It will take time but…
The Truth Is Coming

[PART of the article]
 

JL A (281)
Saturday June 11, 2016, 7:54 pm
Be sure to follow the links at the bottom of the article to Election Justice, TrustVote, and Election Fraud Watch. I note that even KY is suspect and learned that 2 % or more more difference between reported results and exit polls historically have been reason to be suspicious usually founded if investigated.
 

Animae C (508)
Saturday June 11, 2016, 7:56 pm
OMG i'm so excited & joyous at the exposure!!!!

SANDERISTAS UNITED!!!

Keep on posting BM
 

Rose Becke (141)
Saturday June 11, 2016, 9:52 pm
Woohoo
 

Darren Woolsey (218)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 2:43 am
Shared to spread awareness, BMutiny.

Some very interesting reading material for this afternoon!
 

Pat B (356)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 4:55 am
Encouraging news!

Thank you, BMutiny.
 

Past Member (0)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 5:06 am
Yes and thanks BMutiny---the establishment want Bernie supporters fighting amongst themselves---to have intolerance of the separation between those who want to "vote blue no matter who" and those who lean toward Dr. Jill Stein--also in hopes of her joining forces with Bernie, as they admire each other. We do have to be alert and try to not allow ourselves to be manipulated into in-fighting.

This post is an unusual view of our ruse of an election. Perhaps a gift from a force from above.

As Bill Clinton was a Rhodes Scholar, he's no doubt still on top of his game. I've seen some remarks dismissing all of the Democrats as being political dinosaurs. My viewpoint on that is that they've all been active in politics and world affairs, with no vacations or breaks. So, how in the world is their thinking antiquated---and they most certainly have no age-related brain issues. In fact, Bill is the only one involved who has had heart issues and no other candidate has physical issues.

There is and will continue to be an escalation of exposure of total corruption within our government--all governments. The California law suit should be supported by all states joining in solidarity---to force the issue of admission of the overt removal of democracy from our government--with "We The People" rebelling against that and the fact that their Constitutional rights have been dishonored, illegally and repeatedly, especially during this ruse of an election. Revolution is needed to address and correct this.
 

Angelika R (143)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 5:20 am
Thx BMT for moving this to C2NN as well!
Under *normal* circumstances-which ceized to exist in the US it seems-, there would be a YUUUGE wave of law suits following this entire fraudulent primary cycle! Investigating each and ALL . Not going to happen with THAT justice system only Bernie is so determinded to end, change, for more than good reasons!!
 

Angelika R (143)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 5:24 am
I have a question I already asked in PM: after it's been widely acknowledged and confirmed that all absentee votes, the ones mailed in- have yet to be counted, what difference could the result of it possibly mean when we read earlier that those ballots did NOT even have Sanders on it??????

doesn't really sound like a desirable outcome then...perhaps they should best stay where they are..in the boxes somewhere.. ;-)
 

Darren Woolsey (218)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 5:42 am
Well. . . in the interests of Democracy, I think they need to ensure due process has been diligently followed and ALL votes counted.

The least you could say if it turns out that Hillary Clinton got even more actual votes would be that mainstream Press/Media machine did an effective job at reconditioning the mass electorate.

For what it's worth though, EVERY alternative press/media article on Bernie Sanders I've seen suggests his IS a strong vote. I really really REALLY want America to get this one right, as the future of democracy and a decent chance for everyone, and not just a select few, hangs in the balance.
 

Terrie Williams (798)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 6:58 am
Thanks for the links and the info, BMutiny!!!!!!
 

JL A (281)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 7:22 am
Those of us registered DEM (new registrations about 750,000) did have it on our ballots Angie--that is how it matters for Bernie and each 200,000 approx. additional ballots reported has reduced Clinton's percent of votes by about 0.2%
 

Angelika R (143)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 8:11 am
I know and of courese, I was only speaking of those mail-in votes of INDEPENDENTS, which did NOT have him on. This in addition to lacking the chance to SPEAK those majic words "..want a crossover ballot".
@Warren, yes, naturally! Fully agree and you know I wasn't being dead serious there with my suggestion ;-)
 

Evelyn B (63)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 9:45 am
And the US dares preach "democracy" to the rest of the world?

Without Bernie's campaign, and the engagement triggered by "the Bern", I suspect the scale of the fraud would have been hidden (? yet again?)
 

Past Member (0)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 12:42 pm
Thanks BM,

I like John's work very much.

"My friends, we’re going to have to make a lot of noise in these next few weeks — we must bern through the media-blackout!

It really is the only. Media doesn't even have to break a sweat anymore as it has become so routine for them to release/control the s*it-script they call news, but for the rest of us, we must exert so much energy to be heard to make national news - it is the only way.

"A good way to do that would be to literally break the Internet with a hurricane of Sanders-Support & informative articles $hill’s sneaky tricks! We have to let both the media & the public know that we & this movement are not going away!"

Yep.

 

JL A (281)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 12:43 pm
from an OH DEM Party email just received:
"On Tuesday Judge Algenon Marbley issued a ruling striking down Ohio Republican legislation that made it easier to disenfranchise absentee and provisional voters. The Ohio Democratic Party was a plaintiff in this case, as well as the recent case that restored Golden Week for Ohio voters.

"For the second time in less than a month, Ohio voters have won a huge victory in the courts, and Secretary of State Jon Husted is being forced to stop making it harder for Ohioans to vote and for every vote to be counted," said Ohio Democratic Party Chairman David Pepper. "This trial showed quite clearly that every lawfully cast vote was not being counted here in Ohio. Many lawfully registered Ohioans have had their votes cast aside because of new and unnecessary requirements that were shown to be discriminatory. Judge Algenon Marbley found that legislation enacted by Ohio Republicans and Governor John Kasich and enforced by Husted violated the Fourteenth Amendment and Voting Rights Act. It's time for Husted, Kasich and Ohio Republicans to stop violating our constitutional right to vote."
 

Sheryl G (359)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 1:26 pm
Thanks, Exit Polls is what is used in "other" Countries to determine if there was a fair election. You know this is how elections are monitored by the Monitors sent to go there. This help new democracies so on so forth. We are the ones now needing the help.

I had posted this election poll information (brief perhaps) compared to this larger write up by Lee Camp a week or so ago, and again, it's our Comedians that are giving excellent news, just like Jon Stewart did. Is a sad situation when our Comedians do a better job reporting than the supposed reporters. I always think of George Carlin in times like these. He told us like it was. GEORGE CARLIN TOLD IT EXACTLY HOW IT IS
 

Darren Woolsey (218)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 1:47 pm
Brilliant George Carlin. . . and Power-Possessors, F$$$K Off!
 

Katie & Bill D (107)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 9:53 pm
Way too much Purging going on National Voter Registration ct of 1993 says they can only be removed, if they request it or if they Die or if they Move. Tens of thousands have been removed. It's been said that infrequent voter's have been purged.
Husted for Ohio says over 400,000 are deceased. This is not true.
Thank you
 

Katie & Bill D (107)
Sunday June 12, 2016, 10:13 pm
Judge Marbley called it well.
Histed has his Pic on the front page of the Columbus Dispatch today telling it..
We have always Voted and No one has given us an Exit Poll here in OHIO.
Thank You
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 13, 2016, 5:10 pm
Nancy posted another article on election problems:
http://www.care2.com/news/member/830372471/3992511
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 13, 2016, 10:03 pm
Clinton down 0.2%, Bernie up another 0.1%. New counties include Alameda (where Berkeley and Oakland are), Kern (Bakersfield-southern Central Valley and oil country), Monterey on the Central Coast, and San Diego. This is a bigger shift for fewer than 200,000 more than was true with adding more votes last week.

Imperial (Palm Springs) is the only county showing Clinton over 60%--but that is still based on election night (all the others have reported more votes and the percents dropped below that level). Uncounted ballots report hasn't been updated since the earlier shown above. No county is done yet.

Still over 2 million to count; over 700,000 should be provisional since those are supposed to be done last.
 

Darren Woolsey (218)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 2:44 am
Democracy has definitely been compromised.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 8:42 am
Bernie up another 0.1% with Tuolumne (vote difference approx. 30 between the two here).
 

Angelika R (143)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 1:19 pm
Thx for keeping an eye on Judi! Looks like we may not get the real final results of all until, let alone before the convention..? Not with this current pace
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 6:17 pm
Clinton down 0.2 more and Bernie up 0.2 more--difference has dropped to under 500,000 votes. More votes from Inyo, Lassen, Mono (Bernie ahead), Nevada (Bernie over 60%), San Benito (Central not quite coast-about 800 vote difference)m Santa Barbara (So.CA coast switched to Bernie lead), Santa Clara, Santa Cruz (Major Bernie lead), Siskiyou (far north major Bernie lead), Ventura (So.CA coast ),
m Yuba (Northern Central Valley/Bernie lead) and Los Angeles,

Twelve of 58 counties have had no updates. Estimated ballots left to count is 1,959,90.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 6:36 pm
Rob posted another article on uncounted primary votes:
http://www.care2.com/news/member/422061787/3992680
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 8:34 pm
Clinton down another 0.1% and Bernie up another 0.1% with El Dorado County (mine-close to neck and neck-about 300 vote difference), Orange County , and Riverside County (both So.CA) and no update to unprocessed ballot report.55.1% to 44.0% is current counted posted result.
 

Edith B (146)
Tuesday June 14, 2016, 9:08 pm
Thanks for posting this one. I would like to subscribe to the news letter, but I don't do twitter.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 15, 2016, 11:22 am
An update today from Napa, where Clinton lead higher than almost anywhere, leaving statewide percents unchanged.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 15, 2016, 2:45 pm
Clinton lost another 0.1% with a Santa Clara update and less than 473,000 vote difference. SOS estimate is still over 1.5 million votes to count (nothing more on the 5 million additional votes in none of the numbers the LA Times reported about).
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 15, 2016, 3:57 pm
Sutter update--no change in statewide percents since total votes under 7000...difference just 7% and under 500 votes.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 15, 2016, 5:36 pm
Bernie gained another 0.1% so less difference between with San Mateo added votes (Clinton lead), San Francisco (less of a Clinton lead), San Diego, Sacramento, Kern, Imperial (highest Clinton percent), Fresno and San Luis Obispo (Bernie leading now).
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 15, 2016, 8:36 pm
No percent change with San Benito and Colusa additions--only 30 vote difference in Colusa, one of the smaller population counties counting provisional ballots. Four of the smallest counties report zero ballots left to count, but counts not yet final.
 

Angelika R (143)
Thursday June 16, 2016, 6:39 am
AS of June 15: (from John Lauritz)

Something to Keep in Mind…

Remember: now that all of the 4,051 pledged delegates are “accounted for” (they shouldn’t be, but that’s another issue…), every delegate that we gain — whether from state conventions, from recounts, from updated California results, or from whatever else — each delegate is taken from $hillary’s total and added to Bernie Sanders’ total. In other words, while there are 385 delegates between C/inton & Sanders, we only need half of that number to catch up — make sense? We don’t need to gain 385 delegates — we only NEED TO GAIN 193 delegates to TAKE THE LEAD .

Let's DO IT!
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 16, 2016, 7:00 am
With Orange's additions last night, Clinton's percent went down another 0.1% and voted difference down another 1,000.
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 16, 2016, 9:55 am
Santa Clara added more votes this morning, but percent didn't change and vote count difference affected less than 1000 votes.
Last night was the first night since election night that votes were updated outside of normal work hours for state employees suggesting overtime approvals in Orange and at the SOS now which may also indicate pressure from somewhere to get it finished sooner that the law permits.
 

Angelika R (143)
Thursday June 16, 2016, 10:10 am
That might be just catching up in case they were among those idle over the weekend. They BETTER speed up now, enough damage done already so any pressure is welcome and justified!
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 16, 2016, 5:06 pm
Bernie up another 0.1%; Colusa vote difference fewer than 30 now (they are working on provisional ballots there), more from Lassen (fewer than 200 vote difference as snow may affect them again), Merced (Central Valley), Riverside, San Francisco, Tehama (Bernie leads by over 5% far north in the Central Valley), Trinity (north and Bernie leads by over 28%). Six counties have not updated since election night. Provisional ballots to be counted is about 10,000 less now (691,000). Midday (before some of these updates) 1.37 million left to count. Counted vote difference went down more than 30,000 today and is a tad over 434,000
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 16, 2016, 6:56 pm
If you live in CA, and voted by mail, you can check on your ballot at:
http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/ballot-status/
I just did mine and last action is that it was received by them on May 12th--does not show as counted yet.
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 17, 2016, 7:25 am
Alameda may have finished mail ballots and started on provisional with the update they submitted about COB last night. Colusa's 30 vote difference apparently is at the point they reported all ballots counted (made me wonder if 31 or more Bernie supporters didn't vote there after AP report). The Alameda votes changed statewide percents so the difference is only 10.5% now (vote count difference increased again).
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 17, 2016, 6:59 pm
Looks like my comment disappeared...less detail this time...down to10.1% difference statewide, Lots of counties all areas of state today. One more showing zero ballots (Mariposa: Bernie's by 10%). Two larger counties (including Santa Clara with the 72% mailed in) with 200 or fewer mailed so next update should begin on the provisional ballots. 488,000+ mail-in left, 664000+ provisional and over 48,000 allots that are damaged or ballots that could not be machine read and need to be remade, and ballots diverted by optical scanners for further review (a bit higher than number yesterday).
 

JL A (281)
Saturday June 18, 2016, 6:13 am
Last night finished with dropping to a 10.0% difference in statewide vote with more votes from Alameda, Calaveras, Riverside, San Benito, and Shasta (22 of 58 counties adding votes yesterday). 23 counties favor Bernie, some by large margins. A couple of more counties, including large vote counties like Alameda, now have a less than 5 percent difference. The uncounted report was not updated after my last comment (1.2 million) and the uncounted is even making radio news here now.
 

JL A (281)
Saturday June 18, 2016, 3:40 pm
San Joaquin County added votes (One of the early Bernie rallies was in Stockton which has a higher black population than most of our cities and had bankruptcy issues with 2008 fall out) which reduced the vote difference by a couple thousand, without changing the percent. These were all mailed ballots.
 

JL A (281)
Saturday June 18, 2016, 4:48 pm
Evelyn posted a Standford Research study:
Stanford University Confirms Democratic Election Fraud
http://www.care2.com/news/member/312733850/3993319
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 20, 2016, 9:28 am
Update this morning just reduced vote difference to 9.9% (just over 460,000 votes) with additional votes from Santa Clara (on Sat. they had about 12,500 left, only 30 mail and the rest provisional).
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 20, 2016, 11:28 am
Amador County (Gold Country) has added votes no percent change, but number difference now under 460,000. On Sat. they had under 300 mail ballots and almost 400 provisional left to count plus 40 of that "other category."
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 20, 2016, 5:17 pm
Kings update now doing provisional ballots, no percent change but vote difference reduced by about 100. Still have 609 provisional to count. Santa Clara has 5000 more provisional to count. The Amador numbers didn't change from earlier report off of the uncounted ballot report.
STATEWIDE
394,020 mailed
637,595 provisional
43,373 other
1,074,988 total left to count
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 20, 2016, 7:52 pm
Imperial (the highest percent for Clinton county) added votes--down to 151 mail ballots and 1868 provisional there. Also more from San Diego (where an election fraud lawsuit has been filed) now down to 62,000 mail and 73,000 provisional. San Francisco as well now done with mail ballots and 1095 provisional and 318 "other" to count. San Luis Obispo (Bernie ahead) added, too, with 606 mail and 3873 provisional and 435 "other" ballots left to count. Siskiyou (Bernie way ahead) done with mail, 1042 provisional and 255 "other" to count.

While statewide percent didn't change, the number difference dropped to well under 458,000
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 20, 2016, 9:01 pm
Down to just over 455,000 vote difference, and still just 9.9% difference with added votes from Orange, which should have included the last 120 mailed ballots and the start of the 40,532 provisional ballots they have.
 

Angelika R (143)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 5:57 am
Seems mathematically correct to reamain at 9,9% difference then with inly 3000 more weighing in.
What IS STRANGE, however, the fact that a mere 3000 more votes got counted in the meantime-what do they have so many volunteers for???
 

Angelika R (143)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 6:08 am
BTW- a reminder here that it usually pays off and proves helpful to also have a look regularly at John Laurits' website, his explanations are 'fool proof', easy to understand! Check out e.g. his #ExitPollGate article and the latest 'Cumulative Vote Shares' (incl VIDEO):
https://johnlaurits.com/2016/06/11/what-is-exitpollgate/
https://johnlaurits.com/category/according-to-math/
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 6:20 am
It was more than 3000 votes Angie--3000 was the reduced difference between the candidate vote totals.
One observation is that San Diego (where the man from OH was hired) had more mailed ballots left to count than Los Angeles where the number they had to do was exponentially higher...may become an aspect covered in the San Diego lawsuit IMO.
 

Angelika R (143)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 6:34 am
Oh yes, that's right-my bad! sorry...
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 11:30 am
No percent change, but vote difference increased by a couple hundred with added votes from San Mateo (had over 28000 mail ballots to count last night) and Santa Clara this morning (down to 5000 provisional ballots to count last night).
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 3:32 pm
Oddity: when the uncounted ballot report was updated, no update today from Santa Clara and San Mateo but Trinity and Alameda changed to zero ballots remaining...
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 4:26 pm
Percent difference dropped to 9.5% and number difference to under 449,000 with Calaveras (difference there down to 1% yet supposedly had zero to count as of the 17th), Yolo (where Davis is and Bernie moved ahead with this update), Shasta (Bernie still leads and only had “other” [900] as of the 17th according to the uncounted report), Sacramento, and Los Angeles. Most if not all would be mailed ballots in the counties I didn’t say anything about.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 5:44 pm
No percent change, but number just under 447,000 with more from San Diego and Ventura--both from mailed ballots (200 of those left in San Diego and over 2,000 in Ventura). However, time of update on estimated uncounted is inconsistent on San Diego.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 8:38 pm
Rob just posted this analysis of our counting ballots here:
http://www.care2.com/news/member/422061787/3994206
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 21, 2016, 9:22 pm
Percent down to 9.4% and number difference well under 446,000-with added votes from Monterey at least mostly from mail ballots since they had over 11000 left as of earlier today, Orange is probably mostly provisional since they only had 120 mail left and over 40,500 provisional, and Riverside should be all provisional since were at zero on mail.
The last report on uncounted estimates (before these updates indicated):
237,921 mail
511,429 provisional
35,097 other
784,447 total
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 22, 2016, 4:58 pm
Percent down to 9.3% and number difference under 445,000 with additional provisional ballot votes from Santa Clara. 15 counties show no ballots left to count on the estimated uncounted report; an additional 9 show not mailed in ballots.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 22, 2016, 5:48 pm
No percent change and number difference increased to just over 445,000 with additions from San Diego, San Mateo, Fresno and Contra Costa this afternoon. San Mateo and Contra Costa would've been all mailed ballots, the other two at least some provisional.
Estimated uncounted in 5pm update:
176,546 mailed
474,233 provisional
29,699 other
680,478 total
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 22, 2016, 8:27 pm
More from Orange, mostly provisional since only 183 mailed were left on the 5pm report, dropping number difference to 444,520 but no change in percent.
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 23, 2016, 8:14 am
3 Ways the Media Has Failed Our Democracy in Covering the Election
It's not just Fox News — mainstream news organizations have betrayed the public's trust this election season.

http://www.alternet.org/media/ways-media-has-failed-our-democracy-covering-election
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 23, 2016, 4:21 pm
No percent change, number difference reduced by a tad over 400 votes with additional from San Francisco, Santa Clara and Tuolumne. However the uncounted report update didn't change for them. The first two should've been provisional while the third would've included some mailed.
176,522 mailed
468,928 provisional
19,491 other
664,941 total
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 23, 2016, 5:33 pm
No percent change, number difference now well under 442,000 with updates from Alameda, Alpine, Butte, Napa (% for Clinton down by 6% so no longer among the most support), San Diego, and again from Santa Clara.
Alameda, Alpine, Lassen and Tuolumne say they are done while 7 counties have not done updates since election night. However, the estimated uncounted report shows more than 1000 ballots uncounted in the counties saying they are done (mail, provisional and other)--and the totals remain unchanged on that report despite an update COB today.
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 23, 2016, 5:52 pm
The following 25 of CA’s 58 counties are now showing Bernie ahead:
Yuba, Yolo, Tuolumne, Trinity, Tehama, Siskiyou, Sierra, Shasta, Santa Cruz, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Plumas, Nevada, Mono, Modoc, Mendocino, Mariposa, Lassen, Lake, Inyo, Humboldt, Glenn, Del Norte, Butte, and Alpine.

An additional 3 are such a tiny vote difference additional votes or recounts easily could change who is ahead.
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 23, 2016, 8:28 pm
No percent change and number difference reduced a couple hundred with update from Orange, which should have included mostly provisional ballots along with the under 200 mail ballots showing on the uncounted report.
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 24, 2016, 11:34 am
No percent change and number difference reduced another couple hundred down to 441,106 with first update since election night from Madera, near Fresno in the Central Valley who was estimated to have over 5000 votes left to count last night, over 3000 of them mail.
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 24, 2016, 2:27 pm
Tulare (Central Valley) added votes without changing the percent and dropping number difference to 440,990.
Update of the estimated left to count (which may get updates without the related votes getting added and vice versa in recent days) now is:
163,328 mail
464,233 provisional
18,891 other
646,452 total
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 24, 2016, 5:55 pm
Percent drop to 8.9 percent difference and 428,489 with additional votes from Butte (Bernie ahead at 62%--rally in Chico), Contra Costa, Fresno, Los Angeles, Sacramento, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo (Bernie ahead), San Mateo, Santa Clara, and Ventura. Santa Clara shows as none left to count (they had 72% mail ballots) as does Fresno. Ventura and Sacramento have finished counting mail ballots.
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 24, 2016, 8:32 pm
Percent difference dropped to 8.7% (53.9 vs. 45.2%) yet vote difference increased by 86 votes with updates from Marin, Orange, Riverside and San Benito.
Uncounted at approx. COB estimates were:
161,491 mail
420,073 provisional
24,260 other
605,824 total

Seven counties say they are done and 7 haven't updated since election night.
 

JL A (281)
Friday June 24, 2016, 8:41 pm
Although I have not saved all the relevant numbers, I consider it probable the apparent anomaly above is attributable to the other 5 candidates, who had been pretty steady at sharing 1.0% now only sharing 0.7% and thus changing the percents with the larger number as the divisor now.
 

Angelika R (143)
Sunday June 26, 2016, 6:54 am
Perhaps also ponder on the writings of David Swanson! :

* Party's Over, Quarter Billion Dollars on Bernie, Now What? *
http://davidswanson.org/node/5193

Can't easily defy his logic!
 

Angelika R (143)
Sunday June 26, 2016, 7:00 am
xcerpt: [-]
Certainly Bernie should go on trying to somehow make the Democrats' Platform (which, if the past is any guide, they will ignore anyway) slightly less rightwing and disastrous.

It's unclear that investing in Bernie was a reasonable gamble toward winning something more. The rigged nature of the election was clear from the start. Bernie's commitment to promote Hillary Clinton in the end was clear from the start. And her commitment to warmongering, environment destroying, oligarchy enhancing policies was clear from the start.

What else could have been done or could be done now or could be done next time? No, of course you should not vote for the fascist golfer clown. Yes, of course you should vote for Jill Stein. But the system is as rigged against her as it was against Sanders.

Let me ask the question a different way. Why is it that corporations will now take a public stand for LGBTQ rights? Why will even a conscience-free corporate hack like Hillary Clinton defend LGBTQ rights she used to oppose? The primary answer is that activists changed the culture. The role of voting in their work was minimal. As Emma Goldman said, if voting ever changed anything they'd ban it. As Howard Zinn said, it matters less who's sitting in the White House than who's doing the sit ins." [-]

Read on, it's worth it! (http://davidswanson.org/node/5193 )
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 27, 2016, 2:28 pm
No weekend updates. Today percent difference is still at 8.7% while number difference dropped to 427,991 with update from Solano county which should have been a combination of mail, provisional and any other ballots-they now show as no ballots left to count and became the 8th county to indicate they were done.
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 27, 2016, 5:31 pm
New updates dropped number by one, not percent change: Santa Clara, Shasta (Bernie ahead) and Sierra (Bernie ahead). Shasta and Sierra have now done their final updates as has Butte, Madera. The counties without updates are mainly ones where Bernie led on election night.
Estimated unprocessed ballots:
160,449 mail
407,799 provisional
18,624 other
586,872 total
 

JL A (281)
Monday June 27, 2016, 8:37 pm
Vote difference now 417,147 and down to 8.5% difference with additional votes from Los Angeles, San Diego and San Mateo; estimated unprocessed not updated again and none of these three are done reporting yet.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 28, 2016, 7:20 am
Update from Monterey last night increased vote difference s couple hundred yet left percent alone;not their final report and estimated unprocessed was not updated again.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 28, 2016, 4:40 pm
Colusa did their final update today and ended with a 26 vote difference, which equated to 2% in favor of Clinton. Total vote difference is 417,377 and still 8.5%. Estimated unprocessed report was updated and now shows:
STATEWIDE
160,031 mail
341,249 provisional
18,624 other
519,904 total
Based on the pattern I observed, the processed may mean at the county level without the updated votes having been reported to the SOS yet. Twenty counties show no votes unprocessed.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 28, 2016, 5:50 pm
Percent difference dropped to 8.3% and number difference down to 415,820 with updates from Monterey and Ventura. Both counties are done with mail ballots on that estimated report. New time stamp, with same statewide totals as above.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday June 28, 2016, 8:39 pm
No percent changes, number difference down to 414,500 with updates on votes from Riverside and San Diego. Riverside shows as done with mailed a few days ago, so presumably mostly provisional. San Diego had only 200 mail left, so may have begun on provisional with this update.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 29, 2016, 11:27 am
Additional from San Luis Obispo (Bernie leads) this morning, percent remains 8.3% difference and number difference down to 414,126. Six counties have not updated since election night and 12 are done. Estimated unprocessed not yet updated since I last provided.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 29, 2016, 5:44 pm
Percent difference dropped to 8.1% and number difference to 406,852 with vote update from Los Angeles; Madera now reports no votes not processed.
Estimated unprocessed:
STATEWIDE
154,228 mail
283,183 provisional
18,616 other
456,027 total
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 29, 2016, 8:17 pm
There are 637,688 ballots cast beyond those counted on the estimated unprocessed and reported votes in the two major parties. No way to know if they were registered in other parties so couldn't vote in these primaries or votes in transition to being reported.

Percent remains at 8.1% and number difference is also unchanged with vote updates from San Diego. Sacramento shows as having submitted an update, but no vote updates showing (yet) and they still had over 15,000 provisionals to process. I may have checked while SOS is processing their updates.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday June 29, 2016, 8:58 pm
Percent is still 8.1% and vote number difference down to 404,088 with Sacramento's updated votes.
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 30, 2016, 7:43 am
About 10pm an update with no percent change increasing vote difference to 404,241 from Monterey update
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 30, 2016, 4:29 pm
Percent remains 8.1% and number difference is 402,829 with updates from Kern, Marin, Monterey, Orange and Yuba; Yuba's is a final update (Bernie won) as is Orange.

Kern, Marin only had provisional, Monterey and Orange had processed all, and Yuba had over 600 mail, over 600 provisional and over 400 other totaling 1,799 as of last estimated unprocessed report.
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 30, 2016, 6:12 pm
Percent difference dropped to 7.9% and number to 400,860 with update from Mariposa (Bernie leads), Modoc (Bernie Leads), Mono (Bernie leads), more Monterey, Napa, Plumas (Bernie leads), San Diego, San Francisco, San Luis Obispo (Bernie leads), and Trinity (Bernie leads).

This was first update since election night for Modoc and Plumas.
The estimated unprocessed report shows 29 counties with zero left and:
STATEWIDE
146,253 mail
188,112 provisional
16,095 other
350,460 total
 

JL A (281)
Thursday June 30, 2016, 8:33 pm
Number difference dropped to 399,254, percent still 7.9% with update from Stanislaus (Central Valley) which had almost 2,500 mail left, 6,000 provisional and almost 2,900 other ballots to process as of last update.

Humboldt, Mendocino, Placer and Sonoma are now the only ones without updates since election night and 14 did their final reports.
 

JL A (281)
Friday July 1, 2016, 11:35 am
Percent remains 7.9%, number difference dropped to 398,423 with Stanislaus and San Joaquin's final updates making it 24 of the 58 counties who are done, including some more urban with larger populations like San Francisco and Orange. Estimated unprocessed has not been updated since last I reported it.
 

JL A (281)
Friday July 1, 2016, 12:46 pm
Number difference dropped to 394,176 with Mendocino's final report(the 25th complete): with Bernie having more than double the votes of Clinton in the county.
Estimated unprocessed (which includes tens of thousands from Stanislaus and Mendocino) with updated report:
146,253 mailed
188,112 provisional
16,095 other
350,460 total
 

JL A (281)
Friday July 1, 2016, 2:39 pm
Percent dropped to 7.7% and number to 393,688 with Inyo's (Bernie won) final update, Merced (Central Valley) update, San Luis Obispo final update (Bernie won), and Siskiyou final update (Bernie won); Tulare has submitted another update, but those votes don't show yet.
 

JL A (281)
Friday July 1, 2016, 5:58 pm
Percent still 7.7%, number difference dropped to 388,406 with Alpine's final update (Bernie won), Contra Costa's final update as been submitted, but not yet included in vote counts (has 49,000 unprocessed votes on latest update of that report), El Dorado update (switched to Bernie leading), Fresno update, Imperial update, Kings final update, Los Angeles update (now no mail ballots left), San Benito update, San Bernardino final update, more votes from San Diego, votes from Tulare showing now, and Ventura final update.
Estimated unprocessed report shows 40 counties now at zero. Only three counties haven't done updates since election night. 58% (n=33) have submitted their final updates.
127,054 mail
156,022 provisional
4,706 other
287,782 total
 

JL A (281)
Friday July 1, 2016, 8:44 pm
Percent still 7.7%, number difference dropped to 387,339 with update from Riverside which should all have been provisional ballots.
 

JL A (281)
Sunday July 3, 2016, 9:04 pm
Judy just posted

UNCOUNTED: The True Story of the California Primary
Posted on July 3, 2016 by Yves Smith
at:
http://www.care2.com/news/member/864072146/3996568
 

Darren Woolsey (218)
Sunday July 3, 2016, 10:58 pm
Bookmarked the video, and shared over social media to spread awareness.
Thanks Judy and JL A.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday July 5, 2016, 11:31 am
Unprocessed report has been updated with 43 counties showing zero not processed (includes Los Angeles)--majority left are in counties Bernie is ahead in or provisional (or both). No additional vote updates showing yet (7.7% difference).
96,854 mail (about half in Sonoma)
46,412 provisional
3,321 other
146,587 total
(2nd attempt)
 

Angelika R (143)
Tuesday July 5, 2016, 12:31 pm
Visible progress there and I guess now they'll have to do some catching up from the holiday weekend.
The end is nearing..and so is the deadline for this process to be completed; didn't you say it was the 10 Jully? In any case BEFORE the convention, it better be!
Thx Judi!
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday July 5, 2016, 5:32 pm
Difference dropped to 7.3%, number difference 373,612 with vote updates from Amador, Contra Costa, Del Norte (Bernie won), El Dorado (Bernie won), Fresno, Humboldt (Bernie won), Los Angeles, Marin, Nevada (Bernie won), Placer, Plumas (Bernie won), San Benito, San Diego, Santa Barbara (Bernie won), Santa Cruz (Bernie won), Sutter, and Tuolumne (Bernie won). Just 11 counties do not yet say they have submitted their final vote update.
 

JL A (281)
Tuesday July 5, 2016, 8:54 pm
Dropped to 7.1% and 362,423 difference with updates from Lake County (Bernie ahead), Riverside, Sacramento, more from San Diego, Santa Clara, and Tulare.
Updated unprocessed report:
45,023 mail
23,841 provisional
1,591 other
70,455 total
 

Angelika R (143)
Wednesday July 6, 2016, 5:21 am
It is exactly as John Laurits says: a NON-VERIFIABLE ELECTION RESULT nearly certain to prove FRAUD and NON-existing democrcy!
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday July 6, 2016, 2:06 pm
Fresno, Kern, Merced (all Central Valley) and Santa Barbara (Bernie won) have updated votes (submitted final votes) today that increased back to 7.3% and 371,579. Update on uprocessed indicates only Lake (900) and San Mateo have votes left to process:
7,186 mail
1,633 provisional
0 other
8,819 total
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday July 6, 2016, 2:18 pm
Humboldt (Bernie ahead), Lake (Bernie ahead, San Mateo and Sonoma (Clinton ahead by 2.5%) are the only ones not showing as having submitted final updates; Humboldt and Sonoma last submitted on election night.
One weirdness observed is San Diego had at least on two occasions, two vote updates in a day for a single update submitted (where the person from OH was hired). I observed it on single occasions for a couple of other counties. Since San Diego submitted more updates than Los Angeles, Orange and San Francisco did, total votes in the update seems unlikely to be explanation.
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday July 6, 2016, 4:01 pm
Back down to 7.1% and 363,799 difference. Additional votes from Imperial, Mendocino (Bernie), Placer, Sonoma (flipped to Bernie by 4.7%).
 

JL A (281)
Wednesday July 6, 2016, 7:00 pm
Still 7.1%, but down to 363,579 with added votes from Lake (Bernie ahead), Lassen (Bernie ahead), Nevada (Bernie by more than 20%), Sacramento, San Luis Obispo (Bernie ahead), San Mateo, and Yolo (Bernie ahead now). Bernie leads or won in 27 of the 58 counties. Several Clinton leads are by very few votes (e.g., Colusa by 26).

Estimated unprocessed update shows only the 900 from San Mateo now. Humboldt is the only one showing as no update since election night; just Lake and San Diego are additional counties not yet showing they have submitted their final reports (all their votes).
 

Angelika R (143)
Thursday July 7, 2016, 5:55 am
Oh please let there be just 2 more counties for Bernie and technically he WILL have WON the public vote there!
 

JL A (281)
Saturday July 9, 2016, 6:59 pm
Presidential votes were due by the 5th, all others by the 7th. No vote updates from SOS since the 7th, yet it has not been certified as final. My county has posted what they certify as final, yet my family's mailed votes do not show as counted though were received timely (information legally required in CA). I've always been able to see it soon after county says final...
 

JL A (281)
Sunday July 10, 2016, 1:12 pm
State finally wraps up primary vote count — a month after election day
http://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/State-finally-wraps-up-primary-vote-count-a-8349006.php
 
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